{"id":30648,"date":"2025-11-17T14:41:41","date_gmt":"2025-11-17T13:41:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/?p=30648"},"modified":"2025-11-17T14:46:46","modified_gmt":"2025-11-17T13:46:46","slug":"ai-automation-progress","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/automation\/ai-automation-progress","title":{"rendered":"The future won\u2019t wait"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"125\" data-end=\"298\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-30651\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/automation-AI.png?resize=1170%2C780&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"1170\" height=\"780\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/automation-AI.png?w=1536&amp;ssl=1 1536w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/automation-AI.png?resize=300%2C200&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/automation-AI.png?resize=1024%2C683&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/automation-AI.png?resize=768%2C512&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/automation-AI.png?resize=1200%2C800&amp;ssl=1 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1170px) 100vw, 1170px\" \/><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"125\" data-end=\"298\">Are great minds terrified by their own era? Do some economists live in a parallel world, a universe where technologies politely wait for professors\u2019 permission to exist?<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"300\" data-end=\"753\">In a world where artificial intelligence and robotics are reshaping the contours of human labor, Nobel laureate in economics Daron Acemoglu offers a nostalgic vision.<br data-start=\"466\" data-end=\"469\" \/>Tax reforms to discourage excessive automation, mandatory consultation of employees before validating and deploying innovations.<br data-start=\"597\" data-end=\"600\" \/>A bid, in short, to tame the technological flow.<br data-start=\"648\" data-end=\"651\" \/>In reality, an attempt to fight an irresistible current\u2014akin to holding back the ocean with a sandbar.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"755\" data-end=\"872\">The premise is admittedly noble: slowing down the technological highway in the name of an ideal of social protection.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"874\" data-end=\"937\"><strong data-start=\"874\" data-end=\"937\">The great illusion of \u201cjust the right amount\u201d of automation<\/strong><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"939\" data-end=\"1212\">Acemoglu evokes \u201cexcessive automation,\u201d as if there existed a thermostat for technological progress\u2014some dial managed by a ministry that would set the tolerable quantity of innovation.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"939\" data-end=\"1212\">What exactly is \u201cexcessive\u201d automation?<br data-start=\"1165\" data-end=\"1168\" \/>Who determines it?<br data-start=\"1186\" data-end=\"1189\" \/>Based on what criteria?<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1214\" data-end=\"1432\">Technologies do not follow administrative calendars but learning curves, economies of scale, and positive externalities. Taxing a transition makes it neither fair nor smart\u2014only more costly, slower, and less efficient.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1434\" data-end=\"1724\">In truth, Acemoglu essentially proposes lowering the marginal productivity of capital in order to artificially maintain that of labor. Exactly the opposite of what economic progress has always required.<br data-start=\"1636\" data-end=\"1639\" \/>Let us ask a marathon runner to race while carrying a sandbag so walkers can keep up.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1726\" data-end=\"1760\"><strong data-start=\"1726\" data-end=\"1760\">Back to the early 20th century<\/strong><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1762\" data-end=\"2451\">Had he been born in 1900, would Acemoglu have taxed engines exceeding horse-appropriate speeds, strengthened stablehands\u2019 unions to distribute to them a share of the productivity gains from automobiles?<br data-start=\"1964\" data-end=\"1967\" \/>The advent of the automobile wiped out the equine industry, removed millions of horses from the roads, and deprived millions of stablehands, blacksmiths, and carriage drivers of their jobs.<br data-start=\"2156\" data-end=\"2159\" \/>Would Acemoglu have argued for taxes on combustion engines to limit their speed to a \u201chorse-like pace\u201d (10 km\/h), for mandatory consultations with horse breeders before any launch of a Ford Model T, for strengthening breeders\u2019 unions to capture the productivity gains of these \u201cnew machines\u201d?<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2453\" data-end=\"2491\"><strong data-start=\"2453\" data-end=\"2491\">A veto of the past over the future<\/strong><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2493\" data-end=\"2788\">The proposal to require prior consultation of workers for any technological deployment is one of Acemoglu\u2019s most absurd ideas. It would amount to creating internal review committees, endless validation procedures, implicit veto mechanisms\u2014in short, a generalized bureaucratization of innovation.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2790\" data-end=\"3027\">Can we imagine typists voting on the adoption of computers?<br data-start=\"2849\" data-end=\"2852\" \/>Archivists validating the arrival of databases?<br data-start=\"2899\" data-end=\"2902\" \/>Cinema projectionists approving digital video?<br data-start=\"2948\" data-end=\"2951\" \/>Across history, no major innovation would ever have survived such a process.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3029\" data-end=\"3069\"><strong data-start=\"3029\" data-end=\"3069\">A macro vision to avoid obsolescence<\/strong><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3071\" data-end=\"3391\">Automation is not a political choice nor a passing trend: it is a gravitational force powered by global competition, by exponential advances in AI, and by the relentless pursuit of profit. Trying to discourage it through taxes or mandatory consultations is like imposing fines on the tides to make them rise more slowly.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3393\" data-end=\"3592\">Human labor is economically sacred\u2014until it no longer is. Applying an industrial-era model to a post-work economy is like trying to regulate the internet using the Postal and Telecommunications Code.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3594\" data-end=\"3753\">When the real issue\u2014<strong>the only one<\/strong>\u2014is to <em>guarantee income and social stability in a world where automation generates immense wealth with very little human labor<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3755\" data-end=\"4106\">The upheaval in the distribution of value demands a universal basic income or its functional equivalent, taxation based more on value flows than on employment, mechanisms allowing participation in the productivity gains of automated capital, and an education system centered on creativity, analysis, and general culture\u2014not on competing with machines.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"4108\" data-end=\"4262\">The Nobel laureate looks at labor, while it is society that concerns me.<br data-start=\"4180\" data-end=\"4183\" \/>He calls for a future that slows down and pits progress against social justice.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Are great minds terrified by their own era? Do some economists live in a parallel world, a universe where technologies politely wait for professors\u2019 permission to exist? In a world where artificial intelligence and robotics are reshaping the contours of human labor, Nobel laureate in economics Daron Acemoglu offers a nostalgic vision.Tax reforms to discourage&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":30652,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"give_campaign_id":0,"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"mc4wp_mailchimp_campaign":[],"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"{title}\n\n{excerpt}\n\n{url}","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"_wpas_customize_per_network":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[648943067,648943068],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30648","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-automation","category-universal-income"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The future won\u2019t wait - Michel Santi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/automation\/ai-automation-progress\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The future won\u2019t wait - Michel Santi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Are great minds terrified by their own era? Do some economists live in a parallel world, a universe where technologies politely wait for professors\u2019 permission to exist? 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It is, however, just the latest victim to date of a neoliberalism whose ravages have\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;neoliberalism&quot;","block_context":{"text":"neoliberalism","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/neoliberalism"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/apprenti-sorcier.jpg?fit=1023%2C682&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/apprenti-sorcier.jpg?fit=1023%2C682&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/apprenti-sorcier.jpg?fit=1023%2C682&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/apprenti-sorcier.jpg?fit=1023%2C682&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":21437,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/china\/why-nations-prosper","url_meta":{"origin":30648,"position":1},"title":"Why nations prosper","author":"Michel Santi","date":"June 19, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"\u00a0 \u00a0 Demographics are an indicator of the long-term destiny of a nation, and at the same time demonstrate the current mood of its citizens. Having abolished the only-child regime in 2016 to encourage families to have a second, China now even implicitly tolerates a third child across certain regions\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/china"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/Deng-Xiaoping-226x300.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":22448,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/speculation-2\/crypto-speculation-for-the-poor","url_meta":{"origin":30648,"position":2},"title":"Crypto: speculation for the poor","author":"Michel Santi","date":"May 19, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"\u00a0 They are in no way currencies, even if the infatuation and the global greed of gain bestows upon them the flattering label of \u201ccryptocurrencies\u201d, in a doomed-from-the-start attempt to lend them credibility and attract punters. You need to have a tough heart and stomach to trade in such currencies\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;crypto&quot;","block_context":{"text":"crypto","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/crypto-2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/Common-crypto-scams-to-watch-out-for.jpg?fit=1000%2C658&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/Common-crypto-scams-to-watch-out-for.jpg?fit=1000%2C658&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/Common-crypto-scams-to-watch-out-for.jpg?fit=1000%2C658&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/Common-crypto-scams-to-watch-out-for.jpg?fit=1000%2C658&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":20984,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/austerity-2\/2020-end-of-the-modern-world","url_meta":{"origin":30648,"position":3},"title":"2020: end of the &#8220;modern&#8221; world","author":"Michel Santi","date":"November 3, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"\u00a0 The collapse of the Weimar Republic was a turning point in European, even world, history. It must serve as a lesson, even almost a century on. We should indeed not forget that Chancellor Br\u00fcning \u2013 with the Great Depression in full swing \u2013 reduced public spending by more than\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;2020&quot;","block_context":{"text":"2020","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/2020-2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/St-Augustin.jpg?fit=672%2C372&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/St-Augustin.jpg?fit=672%2C372&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/St-Augustin.jpg?fit=672%2C372&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":20118,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/coronavirus-2\/turning-the-tables-after-the-virus","url_meta":{"origin":30648,"position":4},"title":"Turning the tables after the virus","author":"Michel Santi","date":"March 23, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"\u00a0 Thanks to this crisis, our duty is to rebuild society on a solid basis, as well as making deep reforms to financial markets and getting rid once and for all of their intrinsic ability to cause harm. Because, once again and in quite the same vein, the economic and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;coronavirus&quot;","block_context":{"text":"coronavirus","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/coronavirus-2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/R%C3%A9volution.png?fit=1200%2C432&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/R%C3%A9volution.png?fit=1200%2C432&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/R%C3%A9volution.png?fit=1200%2C432&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/R%C3%A9volution.png?fit=1200%2C432&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/R%C3%A9volution.png?fit=1200%2C432&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13589,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/swiss-franc\/negative-rates-no-a-revolution-in-attitudes","url_meta":{"origin":30648,"position":5},"title":"Negative rates? No, a revolution in attitudes!","author":"Michel Santi","date":"April 24, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"How should we live in a world where interest rates are negative? It is a genuine paradigm shift that tells us to prepare for global deflation. While the U.S. will be spared, our Europe is sinking into economic stagnation, an ice age likely to be secular in nature. Switzerland and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Negative rate&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Negative rate","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/negative-rate"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/1000-francs-suisses.jpg?fit=640%2C427&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/1000-francs-suisses.jpg?fit=640%2C427&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/1000-francs-suisses.jpg?fit=640%2C427&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30648","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30648"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30648\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":30656,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30648\/revisions\/30656"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/30652"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30648"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30648"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30648"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}