{"id":29628,"date":"2025-06-13T09:19:49","date_gmt":"2025-06-13T07:19:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/?p=29628"},"modified":"2025-06-13T09:19:49","modified_gmt":"2025-06-13T07:19:49","slug":"iran","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/iran-2\/iran","title":{"rendered":"IRAN"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"52\" data-end=\"129\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"29624\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/iran-2\/iran\/attachment\/k-air-france-2\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/K-Air-France.jpg?fit=897%2C505&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"897,505\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"K Air France\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/K-Air-France.jpg?fit=300%2C169&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/K-Air-France.jpg?fit=897%2C505&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-29624\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/K-Air-France.jpg?resize=897%2C505&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"897\" height=\"505\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/K-Air-France.jpg?w=897&amp;ssl=1 897w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/K-Air-France.jpg?resize=300%2C169&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/K-Air-France.jpg?resize=768%2C432&amp;ssl=1 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 897px) 100vw, 897px\" \/><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"52\" data-end=\"129\">\n<p data-start=\"52\" data-end=\"129\"><strong data-start=\"52\" data-end=\"129\">On May 15 and 27, I published these two analyses on Iran.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"131\" data-end=\"232\">I explained why the Iranian clergy will remain uncompromising on the issue of nuclear power.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"234\" data-end=\"432\">As a reminder, I met Imam Khomeini twice, during which he confided in me about his ambition to establish the hegemony of his Islamic Republic over the Middle East\u2014using nuclear power as a key lever.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"jCmQPc1HJ8\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/iran-2\/iran-a-nuclear-heart-and-soul\">Iran: A Nuclear Heart and Soul<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><iframe title=\"&#8220;Iran: A Nuclear Heart and Soul&#8221; &#8212; Michel Santi\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" src=\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/iran-2\/iran-a-nuclear-heart-and-soul\/embed#?secret=jCmQPc1HJ8\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" data-secret=\"jCmQPc1HJ8\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\"><\/iframe>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On May 15 and 27, I published these two analyses on Iran. I explained why the Iranian clergy will remain uncompromising on the issue of nuclear power. As a reminder, I met Imam Khomeini twice, during which he confided in me about his ambition to establish the hegemony of his Islamic Republic over the Middle&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":29624,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"give_campaign_id":0,"_crdt_document":"","_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"mc4wp_mailchimp_campaign":[],"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"_wpas_customize_per_network":false},"categories":[648942631,648942938,648942904],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29628","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-iran-2","category-israel-3","category-nuclear"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>IRAN - Michel Santi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/iran-2\/iran\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"IRAN - Michel Santi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"On May 15 and 27, I published these two analyses on Iran. I explained why the Iranian clergy will remain uncompromising on the issue of nuclear power. As a reminder, I met Imam Khomeini twice, during which he confided in me about his ambition to establish the hegemony of his Islamic Republic over the Middle&hellip;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/iran-2\/iran\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Michel Santi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/michel.santi.economiste\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-06-13T07:19:49+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/K-Air-France.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"897\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"505\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Michel Santi\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@michelsanti1\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@michelsanti1\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Michel Santi\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/iran-2\/iran#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/iran-2\/iran\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Michel Santi\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/#\/schema\/person\/ba61ae1376925b43e3d1ddbc1e3eb2a4\"},\"headline\":\"IRAN\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-06-13T07:19:49+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/iran-2\/iran\"},\"wordCount\":97,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/iran-2\/iran#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/K-Air-France.jpg?fit=897%2C505&ssl=1\",\"articleSection\":[\"Iran\",\"israel\",\"nuclear\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/iran-2\/iran#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/iran-2\/iran\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/iran-2\/iran\",\"name\":\"IRAN - Michel Santi\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/iran-2\/iran#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/iran-2\/iran#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/K-Air-France.jpg?fit=897%2C505&ssl=1\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-06-13T07:19:49+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/#\/schema\/person\/ba61ae1376925b43e3d1ddbc1e3eb2a4\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/iran-2\/iran#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/iran-2\/iran\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/iran-2\/iran#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/K-Air-France.jpg?fit=897%2C505&ssl=1\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/K-Air-France.jpg?fit=897%2C505&ssl=1\",\"width\":897,\"height\":505},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/iran-2\/iran#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Accueil\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"IRAN\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/\",\"name\":\"Michel Santi\",\"description\":\"\\\"It is not because things are difficult that we do not dare. 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A spectacular U-turn from the man who, until recently, portrayed himself as Tehran\u2019s defender against U.S. sanctions. The Return of the \u201cSnapback\u201d: Iran Under\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Iran&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Iran","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/iran-2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Turquie.jpg?fit=1200%2C753&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Turquie.jpg?fit=1200%2C753&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Turquie.jpg?fit=1200%2C753&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Turquie.jpg?fit=1200%2C753&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Turquie.jpg?fit=1200%2C753&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":29281,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/iran-2\/khamenei-iran","url_meta":{"origin":29628,"position":2},"title":"Ali Khamenei : A fragile legitimacy","author":"Michel Santi","date":"May 15, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Preamble The analysis that follows, centered on the figure of Ali Khamenei, reveals a fundamental truth: Iran\u2019s nuclear program transcends mere geopolitical strategy to root itself in a deeply personal and ideological quest. Marked by a deficit of religious legitimacy since his rise to power in 1989, Khamenei has made\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Iran&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Iran","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/iran-2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Khamenei.jpg?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Khamenei.jpg?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Khamenei.jpg?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Khamenei.jpg?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Khamenei.jpg?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":29463,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/iran-2\/iran-a-nuclear-heart-and-soul","url_meta":{"origin":29628,"position":3},"title":"Iran: A Nuclear Heart and Soul","author":"Michel Santi","date":"May 28, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Oil revenues account for 40 to 50% of Iran\u2019s budget income and 80 to 90% of its export earnings. The country is once again facing an existential threat, as the U.S. President's aggressive stance on tariffs has led to a roughly 20% drop in oil prices this year so far.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Iran&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Iran","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/iran-2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/K-et-MS.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/K-et-MS.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/K-et-MS.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/K-et-MS.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":26161,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/iran-2\/iran-the-hidden-implications-of-raissis-death","url_meta":{"origin":29628,"position":4},"title":"Iran: the Hidden Implications of Ra\u00efssi&#8217;s Death","author":"Michel Santi","date":"May 20, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"In Iran, the powers of the President are minor: he is like an Interior Minister who has no say over national security or ideological direction. \u00a0 Ra\u00efsi and Mojtaba Khamenei were openly competing to succeed the Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, Mojtaba's father. Ra\u00efssi's death clarifies the situation and puts the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;geopolitics&quot;","block_context":{"text":"geopolitics","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/geopolitics"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/iran-organigramme.jpg?fit=1200%2C854&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/iran-organigramme.jpg?fit=1200%2C854&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/iran-organigramme.jpg?fit=1200%2C854&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/iran-organigramme.jpg?fit=1200%2C854&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/iran-organigramme.jpg?fit=1200%2C854&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":29181,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/india-pakistan\/india-pakistan-behind-the-scenes-another-confrontation","url_meta":{"origin":29628,"position":5},"title":"India-Pakistan: behind the scenes, another confrontation","author":"Michel Santi","date":"May 7, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Pakistan has been reduced to publicly issuing nuclear threats, while its diplomacy is actively seeking conciliation with India, the world\u2019s fourth-largest power. In the context of its long-standing conflict with India \u2014 dating back to 1947 \u2014 Pakistan is almost militarily depleted, having exported around $400 million worth of 155\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;India - Pakistan&quot;","block_context":{"text":"India - Pakistan","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/india-pakistan"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Inde-Pakistan.jpg?fit=1200%2C672&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Inde-Pakistan.jpg?fit=1200%2C672&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Inde-Pakistan.jpg?fit=1200%2C672&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Inde-Pakistan.jpg?fit=1200%2C672&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Inde-Pakistan.jpg?fit=1200%2C672&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29628","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29628"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29628\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":29631,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29628\/revisions\/29631"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/29624"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29628"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29628"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29628"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}