{"id":27124,"date":"2024-11-20T01:08:41","date_gmt":"2024-11-20T00:08:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/?p=27124"},"modified":"2024-11-20T01:08:41","modified_gmt":"2024-11-20T00:08:41","slug":"germany-crisis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/trade-excesses\/germany-crisis","title":{"rendered":"Germany in an Existential Crisis"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"27127\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/trade-excesses\/germany-crisis\/attachment\/chanceliers-allemands\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/chanceliers-allemands.jpg?fit=1900%2C1188&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1900,1188\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"chanceliers allemands\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/chanceliers-allemands.jpg?fit=1024%2C640&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-27127\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/chanceliers-allemands.jpg?resize=1170%2C732&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"1170\" height=\"732\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/chanceliers-allemands.jpg?w=1900&amp;ssl=1 1900w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/chanceliers-allemands.jpg?resize=300%2C188&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/chanceliers-allemands.jpg?resize=1024%2C640&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/chanceliers-allemands.jpg?resize=768%2C480&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/chanceliers-allemands.jpg?resize=1536%2C960&amp;ssl=1 1536w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/chanceliers-allemands.jpg?resize=1200%2C750&amp;ssl=1 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1170px) 100vw, 1170px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u201c<em>We Germans look towards Moscow and Warsaw. Paris and London are cities of the past,<\/em>\u201d a German acquaintance confided to me only three years ago. It was still the golden age for a country convinced that globalization, so beneficial to its industry, would last forever. Angela Merkel, hailed as the \u201cindispensable European\u201d by <em>The Economist<\/em>, was considered the most powerful leader in Europe, if not the world!<\/p>\n<p>However, three years ago, the decisions that would seal Germany\u2019s contemporary fate had already been made by successive Chancellors. They all emphasized their close relationship with Vladimir Putin, showing no critical distance when it came to his gas. Hence, Merkel\u2019s unilateral and far-reaching 2011 decision to dismantle all of Germany\u2019s nuclear power plants. It was decreed that the axis of a new Europe would hinge on the crucial bilateral German-Russian relationship, crowned by Nord Stream, flowing proudly beneath the Baltic Sea. Downstream, the partnership with China would guarantee delightful trade surpluses.<\/p>\n<p>For the country\u2019s economic and political elites, the path seemed clear, regardless of whether German industry was rooted in another century. The combination of high-quality finished products, access to cheap energy, and Chinese markets gave the illusion that Germany could withstand the looming dominance of artificial intelligence.<\/p>\n<p>Yet today, Germany is facing a true existential crisis, as its economic model lies in ruins. It no longer knows who its partners are; it no longer knows who it is. Germany doesn\u2019t know what it excels at anymore, and it has lost sight of its role in the world.<\/p>\n<p>Chancellor Olaf Scholz, once a staunch advocate of Germany\u2019s special relationship with China, is emblematic of this confusion. Between 2011 and 2018, when he served as mayor of Hamburg, Scholz made numerous visits to China, where the country\u2019s top leaders courted him fervently. Now, as Chancellor, he has been unable to support a European vote to impose tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles. Paralyzed by fears of trade wars, Scholz now openly acknowledges Germany\u2019s dependency on China\u2014a dependency that poses immense challenges for his country.<\/p>\n<p>The reality is that Chinese products are now flooding the German market, and they are highly competitive. Unlike Germany, China\u2014having massively invested in 21st-century technologies\u2014now delivers goods that are not only cheaper, but also of higher quality than those made in Germany.<\/p>\n<p>Germany\u2019s decline is structural, compounded by a loss of autonomy. Such are the side effects of long-standing trade surpluses. Profits may have been reaped, but at the cost of dependency and sovereignty.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; \u201cWe Germans look towards Moscow and Warsaw. Paris and London are cities of the past,\u201d a German acquaintance confided to me only three years ago. It was still the golden age for a country convinced that globalization, so beneficial to its industry, would last forever. Angela Merkel, hailed as the \u201cindispensable European\u201d by The&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":27127,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"give_campaign_id":0,"_crdt_document":"","_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"mc4wp_mailchimp_campaign":[],"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"_wpas_customize_per_network":false},"categories":[648942743,648942742],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-27124","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-export-machine","category-trade-excesses"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Germany in an Existential Crisis - Michel Santi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/trade-excesses\/germany-crisis\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Germany in an Existential Crisis - Michel Santi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"&nbsp; \u201cWe Germans look towards Moscow and Warsaw. Paris and London are cities of the past,\u201d a German acquaintance confided to me only three years ago. It was still the golden age for a country convinced that globalization, so beneficial to its industry, would last forever. 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The country\u2019s moral authority was constantly being unleashed upon Mario Draghi during his time as president of the ECB because of his active monetary policy. Germany\u2019s arrogance\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Germany&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Germany","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/germany"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/empire-allemand-versailles-1871.jpg?fit=528%2C400&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/empire-allemand-versailles-1871.jpg?fit=528%2C400&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/empire-allemand-versailles-1871.jpg?fit=528%2C400&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13802,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/germany\/europe-is-sick-with-germany","url_meta":{"origin":27124,"position":1},"title":"Europe is sick with Germany","author":"Michel Santi","date":"May 28, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"My intention here is not to fall into caricaturisation or outrage, but Germany is now being governed a bit like Ceausescu's Romania. Just before being overthrown, he managed to run up a surplus in the way of 9 billion dollars on his country\u2019s balance of payments, just like how Olaf\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Germany&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Germany","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/germany"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/ordolib%C3%A9ralisme-allemand-600x278.jpg?fit=600%2C278&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/ordolib%C3%A9ralisme-allemand-600x278.jpg?fit=600%2C278&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/ordolib%C3%A9ralisme-allemand-600x278.jpg?fit=600%2C278&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13598,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/germany\/europe-faces-its-old-demons","url_meta":{"origin":27124,"position":2},"title":"Europe faces its old demons","author":"Michel Santi","date":"March 23, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"The European government elites are sinking into denial. Their frightened posture against public deficits and preference for strict financial orthodoxy is a reflection of an age-old tendency for self-destruction. However, the current version of this tendency is about to lead them to a nasty state of affairs. I am referring\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Germany&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Germany","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/germany"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/domination-allemande.png?fit=600%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/domination-allemande.png?fit=600%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/domination-allemande.png?fit=600%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":19459,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/deutschemark\/back-to-the-deutschemark","url_meta":{"origin":27124,"position":3},"title":"Back to the deutschemark ?","author":"Michel Santi","date":"May 28, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"\u00a0 Martin Feldstein, a Harvard economist, wrote premonitorily in 1997 that the euro\u2019s introduction \u201cwould exacerbate economic cycles by worsening unemployment in certain member states. Such economic woes would contribute to a crisis of confidence in the Union\u201d. In fact, those who were convinced that the Union\u2019s crisis since 2009\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;deutschemark&quot;","block_context":{"text":"deutschemark","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/category\/deutschemark"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/DM-278x300.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":23058,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/british-pound\/black-wednesday-30-years-ago-a-british-humiliation","url_meta":{"origin":27124,"position":4},"title":"Black Wednesday, 30 years ago: A British humiliation","author":"Michel Santi","date":"September 19, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"\u00a0 September 16, 1992 marks the 30th anniversary of the ejection of the Pound Sterling from the European Monetary System (EMS), described as a \"disastrous day\" by then Prime Minister John Major, who never recovered politically. . Then Chancellor of the Exchequer, who had persuaded 7 years earlier his boss\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Britain&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Britain","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/britain"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Michel-S.jpg?fit=881%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Michel-S.jpg?fit=881%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Michel-S.jpg?fit=881%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Michel-S.jpg?fit=881%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":20971,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/speculation-2\/you-are-all-charles-ponzi","url_meta":{"origin":27124,"position":5},"title":"You are all Charles Ponzi!","author":"Michel Santi","date":"October 27, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"\u00a0 \u201cGive Ponzi a million\u201d, the Wall Street Journal declared in an article on 2nd August 1920, \u201cand in a twelve month he will expand it for you to some $25,000,000; in two years to $657,000,000; in three years to $16,885,000,000. Surely the Allies could spare him a million, and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;speculation&quot;","block_context":{"text":"speculation","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/speculation-2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Ponzi.jpg?fit=750%2C375&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Ponzi.jpg?fit=750%2C375&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Ponzi.jpg?fit=750%2C375&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Ponzi.jpg?fit=750%2C375&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]}],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27124","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=27124"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27124\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":27129,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27124\/revisions\/27129"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/27127"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=27124"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=27124"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=27124"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}