{"id":26806,"date":"2024-09-14T16:12:30","date_gmt":"2024-09-14T14:12:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/?p=26806"},"modified":"2024-09-14T16:12:30","modified_gmt":"2024-09-14T14:12:30","slug":"japanification-of-china-the-proof","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/secular-stagnation\/japanification-of-china-the-proof","title":{"rendered":"Japanification of China: The Proof"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-26808\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXUuCDmbwAAO_CV.png?resize=1170%2C1288&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"1170\" height=\"1288\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXUuCDmbwAAO_CV.png?w=1726&amp;ssl=1 1726w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXUuCDmbwAAO_CV.png?resize=273%2C300&amp;ssl=1 273w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXUuCDmbwAAO_CV.png?resize=930%2C1024&amp;ssl=1 930w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXUuCDmbwAAO_CV.png?resize=768%2C845&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXUuCDmbwAAO_CV.png?resize=1395%2C1536&amp;ssl=1 1395w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXUuCDmbwAAO_CV.png?resize=1200%2C1321&amp;ssl=1 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1170px) 100vw, 1170px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Following my recent analysis of what I&#8217;ve termed the &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/china\/japanification-of-china\">Japanification of China<\/a>,&#8221; a crucial milestone has just been reached.<\/p>\n<p>For the first time in global economic history, the long-term yield of Chinese Treasury bonds has fallen below that of Japan&#8217;s.<\/p>\n<p>This is a worrying sign for the Chinese economy, as it indicates that fewer and fewer investors, both domestic and international, are interested in the country.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; &nbsp; Following my recent analysis of what I&#8217;ve termed the &#8220;Japanification of China,&#8221; a crucial milestone has just been reached. For the first time in global economic history, the long-term yield of Chinese Treasury bonds has fallen below that of Japan&#8217;s. This is a worrying sign for the Chinese economy, as it indicates that&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"give_campaign_id":0,"_crdt_document":"","_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"mc4wp_mailchimp_campaign":[],"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"_wpas_customize_per_network":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[648941686],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-26806","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-secular-stagnation"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Japanification of China: The Proof - Michel Santi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/secular-stagnation\/japanification-of-china-the-proof\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Japanification of China: The Proof - Michel Santi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"&nbsp; &nbsp; Following my recent analysis of what I&#8217;ve termed the &#8220;Japanification of China,&#8221; a crucial milestone has just been reached. For the first time in global economic history, the long-term yield of Chinese Treasury bonds has fallen below that of Japan&#8217;s. This is a worrying sign for the Chinese economy, as it indicates that&hellip;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/secular-stagnation\/japanification-of-china-the-proof\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Michel Santi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/michel.santi.economiste\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-09-14T14:12:30+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXUuCDmbwAAO_CV.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Michel Santi\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@michelsanti1\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@michelsanti1\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Michel Santi\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/michelsanti.fr\\\/en\\\/secular-stagnation\\\/japanification-of-china-the-proof#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/michelsanti.fr\\\/en\\\/secular-stagnation\\\/japanification-of-china-the-proof\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Michel Santi\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/michelsanti.fr\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/ba61ae1376925b43e3d1ddbc1e3eb2a4\"},\"headline\":\"Japanification of China: The Proof\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-09-14T14:12:30+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/michelsanti.fr\\\/en\\\/secular-stagnation\\\/japanification-of-china-the-proof\"},\"wordCount\":75,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/michelsanti.fr\\\/en\\\/secular-stagnation\\\/japanification-of-china-the-proof#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/michelsanti.fr\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/09\\\/GXUuCDmbwAAO_CV.png\",\"articleSection\":[\"secular stagnation\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/michelsanti.fr\\\/en\\\/secular-stagnation\\\/japanification-of-china-the-proof#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/michelsanti.fr\\\/en\\\/secular-stagnation\\\/japanification-of-china-the-proof\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/michelsanti.fr\\\/en\\\/secular-stagnation\\\/japanification-of-china-the-proof\",\"name\":\"Japanification of China: The Proof - Michel Santi\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/michelsanti.fr\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/michelsanti.fr\\\/en\\\/secular-stagnation\\\/japanification-of-china-the-proof#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/michelsanti.fr\\\/en\\\/secular-stagnation\\\/japanification-of-china-the-proof#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/michelsanti.fr\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/09\\\/GXUuCDmbwAAO_CV.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-09-14T14:12:30+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/michelsanti.fr\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/ba61ae1376925b43e3d1ddbc1e3eb2a4\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/michelsanti.fr\\\/en\\\/secular-stagnation\\\/japanification-of-china-the-proof#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/michelsanti.fr\\\/en\\\/secular-stagnation\\\/japanification-of-china-the-proof\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/michelsanti.fr\\\/en\\\/secular-stagnation\\\/japanification-of-china-the-proof#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/michelsanti.fr\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/09\\\/GXUuCDmbwAAO_CV.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/michelsanti.fr\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/09\\\/GXUuCDmbwAAO_CV.png\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/michelsanti.fr\\\/en\\\/secular-stagnation\\\/japanification-of-china-the-proof#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Accueil\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/michelsanti.fr\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Japanification of China: The Proof\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/michelsanti.fr\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/michelsanti.fr\\\/\",\"name\":\"Michel Santi\",\"description\":\"\\\"It is not because things are difficult that we do not dare. 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All signals suggesting credible parallels between today's China and Japan in the 1990s. China risks becoming an aging and heavily indebted country before it becomes a wealthy\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/china"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Chine-Japon.jpg?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Chine-Japon.jpg?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Chine-Japon.jpg?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Chine-Japon.jpg?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Chine-Japon.jpg?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":25036,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/china\/china-a-shadow-of-itself","url_meta":{"origin":26806,"position":1},"title":"China: a shadow of itself","author":"Michel Santi","date":"August 27, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"China has become one of the most expensive countries in the world to raise and support a family. The collapse of consumption and overall living standards is wreaking havoc among young Chinese couples, who now have little motivation to start a family. Chinese fertility is declining rapidly despite the pro-natalist\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/china"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/ombre-chine.jpg?fit=750%2C370&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/ombre-chine.jpg?fit=750%2C370&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/ombre-chine.jpg?fit=750%2C370&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/ombre-chine.jpg?fit=750%2C370&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13826,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/china\/trade-war-or-american-self-sabotage","url_meta":{"origin":26806,"position":2},"title":"Trade war, or American self-sabotage?","author":"Michel Santi","date":"September 26, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"Donald Trump is actively preparing phase 3 of his retaliation plan against China now that the latter has just reacted to his last wave that came into force this week. According to his own statements summarising his approach to China, he began by imposing an extra tax of 50 billion\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/china"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/trump-et-la-chine.jpg?fit=620%2C372&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/trump-et-la-chine.jpg?fit=620%2C372&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/trump-et-la-chine.jpg?fit=620%2C372&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":19469,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/china-2\/china-is-quietly-quaking-in-its-boots","url_meta":{"origin":26806,"position":3},"title":"China is quietly quaking in its boots","author":"Michel Santi","date":"June 5, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"\u00a0 Is China on the brink of a crisis similar to the one suffered last year by Argentina, due to a defective balance of payments? In such a situation, China would see itself short on dollars, unable to support its own currency! As for many other sovereign nations, the Yuan\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/category\/china-2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/tigre-de-papier.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":19090,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/trade-war\/usa-0-china-1","url_meta":{"origin":26806,"position":4},"title":"USA 0 China 1","author":"Michel Santi","date":"November 19, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"China is about to win the first leg of the trade war against the US. The latest statistics are actually shocking for the US Government, with the trade deficit with China at its highest historical level. These figures \u2013 that show a Chinese surplus of more than 37 billion dollars\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;trade war&quot;","block_context":{"text":"trade war","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/trade-war"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/Trump-Obama.jpg?fit=960%2C586&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/Trump-Obama.jpg?fit=960%2C586&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/Trump-Obama.jpg?fit=960%2C586&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/Trump-Obama.jpg?fit=960%2C586&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":21589,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/china\/china-at-war-with-spiritual-opium","url_meta":{"origin":26806,"position":5},"title":"China at war with spiritual opium!","author":"Michel Santi","date":"September 14, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"\u00a0 China has declared war. Against its own technology companies. Since last February, the capitalisations of jewels such as Tencent, Alibaba, Kuaishou Technology and Meituan have lost billions of dollars. The stock index Hang Seng Tech that figures the biggest technology companies in the country has collapsed by 45%. The\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/china"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/guerre-chine.jpg?fit=1200%2C630&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/guerre-chine.jpg?fit=1200%2C630&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/guerre-chine.jpg?fit=1200%2C630&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/guerre-chine.jpg?fit=1200%2C630&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/guerre-chine.jpg?fit=1200%2C630&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26806","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=26806"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26806\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":26813,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26806\/revisions\/26813"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=26806"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=26806"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=26806"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}