{"id":26161,"date":"2024-05-20T11:02:01","date_gmt":"2024-05-20T09:02:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/?p=26161"},"modified":"2024-05-20T11:02:01","modified_gmt":"2024-05-20T09:02:01","slug":"iran-the-hidden-implications-of-raissis-death","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/iran-2\/iran-the-hidden-implications-of-raissis-death","title":{"rendered":"Iran: the Hidden Implications of Ra\u00efssi&#8217;s Death"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In Iran, the powers of the President are minor: he is like an Interior Minister who has no say over national security or ideological direction.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"26164\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/iran-2\/iran-the-hidden-implications-of-raissis-death\/attachment\/iran-organigramme\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/iran-organigramme.jpg?fit=1440%2C1025&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1440,1025\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"iran organigramme\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/iran-organigramme.jpg?fit=1024%2C729&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-26164\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/iran-organigramme.jpg?resize=1170%2C833&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"1170\" height=\"833\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/iran-organigramme.jpg?w=1440&amp;ssl=1 1440w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/iran-organigramme.jpg?resize=300%2C214&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/iran-organigramme.jpg?resize=1024%2C729&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/iran-organigramme.jpg?resize=768%2C547&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/iran-organigramme.jpg?resize=1200%2C854&amp;ssl=1 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1170px) 100vw, 1170px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Ra\u00efsi and Mojtaba Khamenei were openly competing to succeed the Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, Mojtaba&#8217;s father.<\/p>\n<p>Ra\u00efssi&#8217;s death <strong>clarifies the situation and puts the Supreme Leader&#8217;s son in a prime position to succeed his father.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>This is where the <em>real power struggles in Iran lie<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>The Islamic Republic would thus become a hereditary monarchy, much like the one it overthrew.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In Iran, the powers of the President are minor: he is like an Interior Minister who has no say over national security or ideological direction. &nbsp; Ra\u00efsi and Mojtaba Khamenei were openly competing to succeed the Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, Mojtaba&#8217;s father. Ra\u00efssi&#8217;s death clarifies the situation and puts the Supreme Leader&#8217;s son in a&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":26164,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"give_campaign_id":0,"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"mc4wp_mailchimp_campaign":[],"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"{title}\n\n{excerpt}\n\n{url}","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"_wpas_customize_per_network":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[648942632,648942631],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-26161","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-geopolitics","category-iran-2"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Iran: the Hidden Implications of Ra\u00efssi&#039;s Death - Michel Santi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/iran-2\/iran-the-hidden-implications-of-raissis-death\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Iran: the Hidden Implications of Ra\u00efssi&#039;s Death - Michel Santi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"In Iran, the powers of the President are minor: he is like an Interior Minister who has no say over national security or ideological direction. &nbsp; Ra\u00efsi and Mojtaba Khamenei were openly competing to succeed the Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, Mojtaba&#8217;s father. 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Marked by a deficit of religious legitimacy since his rise to power in 1989, Khamenei has made\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Iran&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Iran","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/iran-2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Khamenei.jpg?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Khamenei.jpg?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Khamenei.jpg?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Khamenei.jpg?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Khamenei.jpg?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":31291,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/leadership-decapitation\/khamenei-iran-2","url_meta":{"origin":26161,"position":2},"title":"Kill the leader, create the worst enemy","author":"Michel Santi","date":"March 10, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"The Trap of the Perfect Strike The father was killed. The wife was killed. The child was killed. During negotiations. And now we wait for the successor to be reasonable. Is that the calculation, the strategy? Eliminate the supreme leader at the beginning of the conflict, hope for a more\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Authoritarian succession&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Authoritarian succession","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/authoritarian-succession"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/chateau-de-billets.jpg?fit=800%2C582&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/chateau-de-billets.jpg?fit=800%2C582&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/chateau-de-billets.jpg?fit=800%2C582&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/chateau-de-billets.jpg?fit=800%2C582&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":29628,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/iran-2\/iran","url_meta":{"origin":26161,"position":3},"title":"IRAN","author":"Michel Santi","date":"June 13, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"On May 15 and 27, I published these two analyses on Iran. I explained why the Iranian clergy will remain uncompromising on the issue of nuclear power. As a reminder, I met Imam Khomeini twice, during which he confided in me about his ambition to establish the hegemony of his\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Iran&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Iran","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/iran-2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/K-Air-France.jpg?fit=897%2C505&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/K-Air-France.jpg?fit=897%2C505&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/K-Air-France.jpg?fit=897%2C505&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/K-Air-France.jpg?fit=897%2C505&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":31110,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/iran-2\/iran-the-kleptocrats-who-betrayed-the-revolution","url_meta":{"origin":26161,"position":4},"title":"Iran: The Kleptocrats Who Betrayed the Revolution","author":"Michel Santi","date":"February 15, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"\u201cThe Supreme Leader has only one concern: annual profits. The rest, he doesn\u2019t care about.\u201d Created by a brief edict of Khomeini in 1989, two months before his death, to manage \u201cownerless\u201d properties and redistribute them to the poor, Setad \u2014 \u201cHeadquarters for Executing the Order of the Imam\u201d \u2014\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Iran&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Iran","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/iran-2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/KHAMENEI.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/KHAMENEI.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/KHAMENEI.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/KHAMENEI.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/KHAMENEI.jpg?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/KHAMENEI.jpg?resize=1400%2C800&ssl=1 4x"},"classes":[]},{"id":31350,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/dynastic-succession\/the-pasdaran-in-robes","url_meta":{"origin":26161,"position":5},"title":"The Pasdaran in Robe","author":"Michel Santi","date":"March 18, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"How Iran has just revealed the naked truth of its own regime \u2014 and why it changes everything There are moments in the history of regimes when the mask does not fall under external pressure. It falls through internal accident \u2014 because a crisis forces a decision too quickly, in\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Dynastic succession&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Dynastic succession","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/dynastic-succession"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/pasdaran-robe.png?fit=800%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/pasdaran-robe.png?fit=800%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/pasdaran-robe.png?fit=800%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/pasdaran-robe.png?fit=800%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]}],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26161","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=26161"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26161\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":26169,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26161\/revisions\/26169"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/26164"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=26161"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=26161"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=26161"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}