{"id":26161,"date":"2024-05-20T11:02:01","date_gmt":"2024-05-20T09:02:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/?p=26161"},"modified":"2024-05-20T11:02:01","modified_gmt":"2024-05-20T09:02:01","slug":"iran-the-hidden-implications-of-raissis-death","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/iran-2\/iran-the-hidden-implications-of-raissis-death","title":{"rendered":"Iran: the Hidden Implications of Ra\u00efssi&#8217;s Death"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In Iran, the powers of the President are minor: he is like an Interior Minister who has no say over national security or ideological direction.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"26164\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/iran-2\/iran-the-hidden-implications-of-raissis-death\/attachment\/iran-organigramme\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/iran-organigramme.jpg?fit=1440%2C1025&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1440,1025\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"iran organigramme\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/iran-organigramme.jpg?fit=300%2C214&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/iran-organigramme.jpg?fit=1024%2C729&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-26164\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/iran-organigramme.jpg?resize=1170%2C833&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"1170\" height=\"833\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/iran-organigramme.jpg?w=1440&amp;ssl=1 1440w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/iran-organigramme.jpg?resize=300%2C214&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/iran-organigramme.jpg?resize=1024%2C729&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/iran-organigramme.jpg?resize=768%2C547&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/iran-organigramme.jpg?resize=1200%2C854&amp;ssl=1 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1170px) 100vw, 1170px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Ra\u00efsi and Mojtaba Khamenei were openly competing to succeed the Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, Mojtaba&#8217;s father.<\/p>\n<p>Ra\u00efssi&#8217;s death <strong>clarifies the situation and puts the Supreme Leader&#8217;s son in a prime position to succeed his father.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>This is where the <em>real power struggles in Iran lie<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>The Islamic Republic would thus become a hereditary monarchy, much like the one it overthrew.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In Iran, the powers of the President are minor: he is like an Interior Minister who has no say over national security or ideological direction. &nbsp; Ra\u00efsi and Mojtaba Khamenei were openly competing to succeed the Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, Mojtaba&#8217;s father. Ra\u00efssi&#8217;s death clarifies the situation and puts the Supreme Leader&#8217;s son in a&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":26164,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"give_campaign_id":0,"_crdt_document":"","_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"mc4wp_mailchimp_campaign":[],"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"_wpas_customize_per_network":false},"categories":[648942632,648942631],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-26161","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-geopolitics","category-iran-2"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Iran: the Hidden Implications of Ra\u00efssi&#039;s Death - Michel Santi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/iran-2\/iran-the-hidden-implications-of-raissis-death\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Iran: the Hidden Implications of Ra\u00efssi&#039;s Death - Michel Santi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"In Iran, the powers of the President are minor: he is like an Interior Minister who has no say over national security or ideological direction. &nbsp; Ra\u00efsi and Mojtaba Khamenei were openly competing to succeed the Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, Mojtaba&#8217;s father. 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Marked by a deficit of religious legitimacy since his rise to power in 1989, Khamenei has made\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Iran&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Iran","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/iran-2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Khamenei.jpg?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Khamenei.jpg?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Khamenei.jpg?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Khamenei.jpg?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Khamenei.jpg?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":29628,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/iran-2\/iran","url_meta":{"origin":26161,"position":2},"title":"IRAN","author":"Michel Santi","date":"June 13, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"On May 15 and 27, I published these two analyses on Iran. I explained why the Iranian clergy will remain uncompromising on the issue of nuclear power. As a reminder, I met Imam Khomeini twice, during which he confided in me about his ambition to establish the hegemony of his\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Iran&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Iran","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/iran-2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/K-Air-France.jpg?fit=897%2C505&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/K-Air-France.jpg?fit=897%2C505&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/K-Air-France.jpg?fit=897%2C505&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/K-Air-France.jpg?fit=897%2C505&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":29463,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/iran-2\/iran-a-nuclear-heart-and-soul","url_meta":{"origin":26161,"position":3},"title":"Iran: A Nuclear Heart and Soul","author":"Michel Santi","date":"May 28, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Oil revenues account for 40 to 50% of Iran\u2019s budget income and 80 to 90% of its export earnings. The country is once again facing an existential threat, as the U.S. President's aggressive stance on tariffs has led to a roughly 20% drop in oil prices this year so far.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Iran&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Iran","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/iran-2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/K-et-MS.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/K-et-MS.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/K-et-MS.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/K-et-MS.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":30432,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/iran-2\/turkey-is-abandoning-iran","url_meta":{"origin":26161,"position":4},"title":"Turkey is abandoning Iran","author":"Michel Santi","date":"October 12, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Erdogan has surprised both his allies and his adversaries: by freezing the assets of key Iranian institutions, the Turkish president is sending clear signals to Washington. A spectacular U-turn from the man who, until recently, portrayed himself as Tehran\u2019s defender against U.S. sanctions. The Return of the \u201cSnapback\u201d: Iran Under\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Iran&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Iran","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/iran-2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Turquie.jpg?fit=1200%2C753&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Turquie.jpg?fit=1200%2C753&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Turquie.jpg?fit=1200%2C753&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Turquie.jpg?fit=1200%2C753&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Turquie.jpg?fit=1200%2C753&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":29181,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/india-pakistan\/india-pakistan-behind-the-scenes-another-confrontation","url_meta":{"origin":26161,"position":5},"title":"India-Pakistan: behind the scenes, another confrontation","author":"Michel Santi","date":"May 7, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Pakistan has been reduced to publicly issuing nuclear threats, while its diplomacy is actively seeking conciliation with India, the world\u2019s fourth-largest power. In the context of its long-standing conflict with India \u2014 dating back to 1947 \u2014 Pakistan is almost militarily depleted, having exported around $400 million worth of 155\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;India - Pakistan&quot;","block_context":{"text":"India - Pakistan","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/india-pakistan"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Inde-Pakistan.jpg?fit=1200%2C672&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Inde-Pakistan.jpg?fit=1200%2C672&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Inde-Pakistan.jpg?fit=1200%2C672&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Inde-Pakistan.jpg?fit=1200%2C672&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Inde-Pakistan.jpg?fit=1200%2C672&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26161","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=26161"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26161\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":26169,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26161\/revisions\/26169"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/26164"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=26161"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=26161"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=26161"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}