{"id":25865,"date":"2024-03-26T18:01:22","date_gmt":"2024-03-26T17:01:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/?p=25865"},"modified":"2024-03-26T18:19:20","modified_gmt":"2024-03-26T17:19:20","slug":"disruption-ahead","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/globalizazion\/disruption-ahead","title":{"rendered":"Disruption Ahead?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The port of Baltimore was significant in US vehicle imports.<\/p>\n<p>\u00abPredictability: Does the Flap of a Butterfly&#8217;s Wings in Brazil Set off a Tornado in Texas?\u00bb, Edward Lorenz, 1972<\/p>\n<p>Globalization or not globalization? As the Swiss say, you can&#8217;t have the butter and the money from the butter&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"25874\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/globalizazion\/disruption-ahead\/attachment\/gjne-p7weaauo2w\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/GJnE-p7WEAAUo2w-2.png?fit=1279%2C1293&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1279,1293\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"Baltimore\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/GJnE-p7WEAAUo2w-2.png?fit=1013%2C1024&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/GJnE-p7WEAAUo2w-2.png?resize=1170%2C1183&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"1170\" height=\"1183\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-25874\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/GJnE-p7WEAAUo2w-2.png?w=1279&amp;ssl=1 1279w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/GJnE-p7WEAAUo2w-2.png?resize=297%2C300&amp;ssl=1 297w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/GJnE-p7WEAAUo2w-2.png?resize=1013%2C1024&amp;ssl=1 1013w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/GJnE-p7WEAAUo2w-2.png?resize=768%2C776&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/GJnE-p7WEAAUo2w-2.png?resize=1200%2C1213&amp;ssl=1 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1170px) 100vw, 1170px\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The port of Baltimore was significant in US vehicle imports. \u00abPredictability: Does the Flap of a Butterfly&#8217;s Wings in Brazil Set off a Tornado in Texas?\u00bb, Edward Lorenz, 1972 Globalization or not globalization? As the Swiss say, you can&#8217;t have the butter and the money from the butter&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":22952,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"give_campaign_id":0,"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"mc4wp_mailchimp_campaign":[],"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"{title}\n\n{excerpt}\n\n{url}","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"_wpas_customize_per_network":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[648941311],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-25865","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-globalizazion"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Disruption Ahead? - Michel Santi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/globalizazion\/disruption-ahead\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Disruption Ahead? - Michel Santi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The port of Baltimore was significant in US vehicle imports. \u00abPredictability: Does the Flap of a Butterfly&#8217;s Wings in Brazil Set off a Tornado in Texas?\u00bb, Edward Lorenz, 1972 Globalization or not globalization? 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Just as neoliberalism is not immutable. Even though nearly all economists, analysts, and journalists would cry out in outrage whenever a rare few like myself dared to question it. It was the absolute dogma, an irresistible force, a determinism that imposed a heavy, long-term continuity\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;globalizazion&quot;","block_context":{"text":"globalizazion","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/globalizazion"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/neoliberalisme.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/neoliberalisme.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/neoliberalisme.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/neoliberalisme.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/neoliberalisme.jpg?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/neoliberalisme.jpg?resize=1400%2C800&ssl=1 4x"},"classes":[]},{"id":27463,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/tariffs\/how-to-resist-economic-vassalization","url_meta":{"origin":25865,"position":1},"title":"The exorbitant burden","author":"Michel Santi","date":"February 3, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"\u00a0 \"We consider it unlikely that customs tariffs will be put in place. The weapon of customs tariffs will always be loaded and ready to be used, but rarely triggered. Another differentiated point of view that we have is that Trump will pursue a weak dollar policy rather than imposing\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;tariffs&quot;","block_context":{"text":"tariffs","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/tariffs"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Scott-Bessent.jpg?fit=1170%2C471&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Scott-Bessent.jpg?fit=1170%2C471&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Scott-Bessent.jpg?fit=1170%2C471&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Scott-Bessent.jpg?fit=1170%2C471&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Scott-Bessent.jpg?fit=1170%2C471&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":26678,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/china\/japanification-of-china","url_meta":{"origin":25865,"position":2},"title":"Japanification of China","author":"Michel Santi","date":"August 29, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"\u00a0 \u00a0 Extended periods of deflation, economic stagnation, a declining real estate market, financial pressure and stress impacting households, businesses, and the state. All signals suggesting credible parallels between today's China and Japan in the 1990s. China risks becoming an aging and heavily indebted country before it becomes a wealthy\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/china"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Chine-Japon.jpg?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Chine-Japon.jpg?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Chine-Japon.jpg?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Chine-Japon.jpg?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Chine-Japon.jpg?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13730,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/germany\/a-germany-living-on-borrowed-time","url_meta":{"origin":25865,"position":3},"title":"A Germany living on borrowed time","author":"Michel Santi","date":"February 18, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"The narrow-minded attitude of the Germans with regards to austerity, currency and money in general is totally counterproductive in Europe\u2019s current situation. There is nevertheless one certainty: they are sincere! In fact, Germany\u2019s behaviour can only be understood in relation to its at the very least tormented history. Wasn\u2019t bread\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Germany&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Germany","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/germany"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/hyperinflation.jpg?fit=1200%2C511&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/hyperinflation.jpg?fit=1200%2C511&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/hyperinflation.jpg?fit=1200%2C511&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/hyperinflation.jpg?fit=1200%2C511&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/hyperinflation.jpg?fit=1200%2C511&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13654,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/capitalism\/apple-or-capitalism-with-bite","url_meta":{"origin":25865,"position":4},"title":"Apple, or capitalism with bite","author":"Michel Santi","date":"November 10, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"Apple makes money \u2013 a lot of money! In fact, Apple makes more money than any company has ever made and now finds itself, logically, with mountains of cash. As high as some 200 billion dollars, and more than the US Treasury. Of course, it\u2019s the shareholders who are the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;capitalism&quot;","block_context":{"text":"capitalism","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/capitalism"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/apple_logo1.png?fit=1200%2C579&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/apple_logo1.png?fit=1200%2C579&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/apple_logo1.png?fit=1200%2C579&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/apple_logo1.png?fit=1200%2C579&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/apple_logo1.png?fit=1200%2C579&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":29910,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/tariffs-2\/no-celebration-for-switzerland-this-august-1st","url_meta":{"origin":25865,"position":5},"title":"No celebration for Switzerland this August 1st","author":"Michel Santi","date":"July 26, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Switzerland celebrates its National Day on August 1st, but this year\u2019s festivities will be overshadowed by the imposition of arbitrarily fixed 31% U.S. tariffs\u2014punitive measures that are both harsh and difficult for the Swiss to understand, especially as they have consistently followed the rules of globalization with elegance and restraint.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;tariffs&quot;","block_context":{"text":"tariffs","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/tariffs-2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Suisse.jpg?fit=1200%2C439&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Suisse.jpg?fit=1200%2C439&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Suisse.jpg?fit=1200%2C439&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Suisse.jpg?fit=1200%2C439&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Suisse.jpg?fit=1200%2C439&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25865","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=25865"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25865\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":25876,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25865\/revisions\/25876"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/22952"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=25865"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=25865"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=25865"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}