{"id":21944,"date":"2022-02-08T16:16:21","date_gmt":"2022-02-08T15:16:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/?p=21944"},"modified":"2022-02-08T16:16:47","modified_gmt":"2022-02-08T15:16:47","slug":"russia-a-poor-power","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/russia\/russia-a-poor-power","title":{"rendered":"Russia: a poor power"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"21940\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/russia\/russia-a-poor-power\/attachment\/putin-2-2\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/Putin.jpg?fit=1200%2C798&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1200,798\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"Putin\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/Putin.jpg?fit=1024%2C681&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-21940\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/Putin.jpg?resize=300%2C200&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"200\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/Putin.jpg?resize=300%2C200&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/Putin.jpg?resize=1024%2C681&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/Putin.jpg?resize=768%2C511&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/Putin.jpg?w=1200&amp;ssl=1 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>In terms of sanctions against it, Russia is particularly vulnerable when it comes to technology. Its dependency goes back a long time, to the Soviet era in fact because \u2013 despite the USSR exporting more machines and machine tools than it imported numerically-speaking \u2013 the value of these imports exceeded 7 and sometimes even 10 times the value of its machine exports. This pattern continues today with the country being unable to manufacture sophisticated machines, in part due to it having left to crumble what remained of its industrial capacity inherited from the communist era.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The rise in oil prices \u2013 during Putin\u2019s first two terms at least \u2013 has come to hurt Russia, with the country having greatly prioritised investment in energy production, and not without making use of its gains to make enormous purchases of foreign technology. Russian companies in the sector import more than half of their equipment to this end, and also even 90% of their technological requirements for offshore and fracking operations. And the Russian defence industry itself still imports nearly 30% of its high-grade electronics. While national industry produces, for example, more than 80% of its needs with regards to construction, cement, and cranes, it has to in turn import 100% of its laser and ultrasound machines. In short, the policy that has been put in place to gradually replace imports with national production built from investment has now turned out to be a failure. Everyone remembers President Putin\u2019s 2018 visit to a machine tool factory to illustrate the success of these industrial and technological growth programmes\u2026until experts noticed that Putin was actually posing (probably unbeknownst to him) next to a \u201cMade in Italy\u201d machine that had been repainted and sold at double the price, as if it had been made in Russia.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The European Union is in fact Russia\u2019s biggest supplier of sophisticated equipment, and China is not a close second, despite its own equipment selling at 1,000 dollars as opposed to 100,000 for their German or Swiss equivalents. China is likewise sorely lacking this technology that also Russia needs, like for example jet plane parts that China imports 40% of from Europe and the US. Processors, chips and other high-grade tools that are essential, for example, to Russia\u2019s satellite system \u2013 GLONASS \u2013 that allows it to operate both its GPS and its defence missiles cannot simply be bought in China because it doesn\u2019t produce them, therefore forcing Russia to put the brakes on its own programmes. On the financial side of things too \u2013 which is vital for Russia \u2013 China isn\u2019t taking any big risks either because no bank in the country has joined SWIFT, the alternative payment system created by Russia that has massively reduced its own dollar reserves, whereas China has been preserving its own same reserves denominated in the American currency. In reality, China has significantly withdrawn from Russia financially over the last few years, giving 75% less funding to its energy sector that is nevertheless fundamental for Russia.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>This great weakness of the Russian economy is structural because activity there is controlled by a few conglomerates concentrated in just a few areas and which are the property of the state, or of a tiny minority of people that are all linked to each other and dependent upon each other. With such a disastrous backdrop, and not at all productive, when even before Covid food prices had shot up by more than 30% due to sanctions and a deficient agricultural sector, how is Russia to survive with fresh sanctions on the horizon?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; In terms of sanctions against it, Russia is particularly vulnerable when it comes to technology. Its dependency goes back a long time, to the Soviet era in fact because \u2013 despite the USSR exporting more machines and machine tools than it imported numerically-speaking \u2013 the value of these imports exceeded 7 and sometimes even&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":21940,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"give_campaign_id":0,"_crdt_document":"","_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"mc4wp_mailchimp_campaign":[],"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"_wpas_customize_per_network":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[648941699,648941845,648941846],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-21944","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-russia","category-sanctions-2","category-ukraine-2"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Russia: a poor power - Michel Santi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/russia\/russia-a-poor-power\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Russia: a poor power - Michel Santi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"&nbsp; In terms of sanctions against it, Russia is particularly vulnerable when it comes to technology. 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Clearly worried about freeing itself from the West\u2019s tutelage, Russia now has only 3.7 billion dollars of US debt compared to the 177 it had in 2010. Also, Russia\u2019s central\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Russia&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Russia","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/russia"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/sanctions.png?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/sanctions.png?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/sanctions.png?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/sanctions.png?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/sanctions.png?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":24817,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/russia\/russia-at-war-with-opec","url_meta":{"origin":21944,"position":1},"title":"Russia at war with OPEC","author":"Michel Santi","date":"June 11, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"It is necessary to conjugate the striking force of OPEC in the past. This group of countries that used to meet in Vienna, deciding unanimously to reduce their production and using their monopoly to drive up oil prices to the detriment of nations and continents eager to consume it, no\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Russia&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Russia","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/russia"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/MBS.jpg?fit=600%2C400&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/MBS.jpg?fit=600%2C400&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/MBS.jpg?fit=600%2C400&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":22402,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/hyperinflation-2\/hunger-games","url_meta":{"origin":21944,"position":2},"title":"Hunger Games","author":"Michel Santi","date":"May 8, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"\u00a0 Hyperglobalisation has killed us off! It makes us irreversibly dependent on each other on a global scale, so much so that punitive sanctions placed on a medium-sized country now have an impact on production chains on the other side of the planet, ending up working against those who decreed\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;food supply&quot;","block_context":{"text":"food supply","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/food-supply-2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/Michel-Santi.jpg?fit=1200%2C801&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/Michel-Santi.jpg?fit=1200%2C801&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/Michel-Santi.jpg?fit=1200%2C801&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/Michel-Santi.jpg?fit=1200%2C801&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/Michel-Santi.jpg?fit=1200%2C801&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":23025,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/oil-price-cap\/checkmate-for-russia","url_meta":{"origin":21944,"position":3},"title":"Checkmate for Russia?","author":"Michel Santi","date":"September 10, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"\u00a0 The oil price cap decided a few days ago by the G7 is an original, unprecedented measure to be taken very seriously. The member countries of this exclusive club will therefore refuse to buy its oil from Russia at a price that will exceed a certain level which will\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;oil price cap&quot;","block_context":{"text":"oil price cap","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/oil-price-cap"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/g-7.webp?fit=1200%2C768&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/g-7.webp?fit=1200%2C768&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/g-7.webp?fit=1200%2C768&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/g-7.webp?fit=1200%2C768&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/g-7.webp?fit=1200%2C768&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":22037,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/china\/where-is-china-though","url_meta":{"origin":21944,"position":4},"title":"Where is China though?","author":"Michel Santi","date":"March 6, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"\u00a0 China has been deeply shocked by the butchery that the Russian economy has suffered. The leaders of China \u2013 at every level \u2013 are terrified to fall victim to such strangulation. The West has steadfastly realised that its almighty power of globalisation is \u2013 by all accounts \u2013 a\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/china"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Chine-Russie.png?fit=1200%2C913&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Chine-Russie.png?fit=1200%2C913&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Chine-Russie.png?fit=1200%2C913&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Chine-Russie.png?fit=1200%2C913&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Chine-Russie.png?fit=1200%2C913&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":22072,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/china-financial-victory-without-military-intervention","url_meta":{"origin":21944,"position":5},"title":"China: financial victory without military intervention","author":"Michel Santi","date":"March 14, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"\u00a0 China\u2019s currency just overtook the once almighty yen. SWIFT, the international payment system, must now use the yuan that has become the 4th biggest currency after the dollar, the euro and the Swiss franc. Long considered to be speculative, the \u201crenminbi\u201d seems to be undergoing a full transformation, with\u2026","rel":"","context":"With 2 comments","block_context":{"text":"With 2 comments","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/china-financial-victory-without-military-intervention#comments"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Ctzjc3tWgAAoM7H-300x163.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21944","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=21944"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21944\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":21947,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21944\/revisions\/21947"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/21940"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21944"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=21944"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21944"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}