{"id":21448,"date":"2021-06-29T10:01:12","date_gmt":"2021-06-29T08:01:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/?p=21448"},"modified":"2021-08-21T09:57:33","modified_gmt":"2021-08-21T07:57:33","slug":"japan-mirror-of-the-world","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/japan\/japan-mirror-of-the-world","title":{"rendered":"Japan, mirror of the world"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"21443\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/japan\/japan-mirror-of-the-world\/attachment\/aboratoire-2\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/aboratoire.jpg?fit=1688%2C1055&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1688,1055\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"aboratoire\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/aboratoire.jpg?fit=300%2C188&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/aboratoire.jpg?fit=1024%2C640&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-21443\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/aboratoire.jpg?resize=300%2C188&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"188\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/aboratoire.jpg?resize=300%2C188&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/aboratoire.jpg?resize=1024%2C640&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/aboratoire.jpg?resize=768%2C480&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/aboratoire.jpg?resize=1536%2C960&amp;ssl=1 1536w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/aboratoire.jpg?resize=1200%2C750&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/aboratoire.jpg?w=1688&amp;ssl=1 1688w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Japan is the world\u2019s laboratory. It\u2019s in this country that in 2001, for the very first time, the famous quantitative easing measures were put in place that tried to break the believed-to-be impenetrable barrier of zero interest rates that had been set in 1999. It was a revolutionary endeavour for the time, led by successive governments motivated by the need to revive their economy. This staunchly unorthodox monetary policy now became common practice for Western central banks. The Fed, the ECB, the Bank of England and others haven\u2019t been miserly in making use of this inverted lever whose clear and open objective was to rekindle inflationary pressures. This precious reflation would of course not come without public spending that would in turn stimulate the recovery of consumption and private investment. To rehash the very profound words of Paul Krugman, central banks \u2013 for the class of them that the Bank of Japan pioneered \u2013 signalled to the public that if necessary they would be prepared to lose control of inflation.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>However, 20 years on and Japan is still stuck in its stagnation, still debating with itself in a soup made of anaemic growth, negligeable inflation, declining wages and waning productivity. The calamitous implosion of Japan\u2019s speculative bubble during the 1990s together with the global financial crisis that began in 2007, topped off by the current health crisis, now means that 16% of the Japanese population lives in poverty. This country is now the second worst performer of the G7 from this point of view, after the US. Japan is also the land of all records since its public debt stacks up to 265% of its GDP, which makes it the world champion of all categories, and now too firing the warning shots with global public debt surging by more than a third over 2020 and 2021. So, the case study of Japan clearly shows us that nations that have a sovereign currency can rack up their expenditure without fearing inflation. However, this verdict needs to be refined because Japan \u2013 like many countries across the globe \u2013 is weighed down by structural problems that systematically hinder recovery, growth, inflation, and confidence. Low wages, impoverished retirements (because of the negative rates), declining education and training levels, and an ageing population that therefore consumes less, are the burdens weighing heavy on Japan\u2019s economy and many other so-called developed economies.<\/p>\n<p>He nevertheless tried everything, Shinzo Abe, Prime Minister from 2012 to 2020, and he nearly succeeded with his effervescent programmes centred around a tripartite idea of massively increasing public spending, triggering frantic debt purchases by the central bank, and reducing tax rates on companies. He was alas confronted with a miserly private sector that really didn\u2019t play the game and that, very happy to see the public sector spending without counting, thus grew its reserves to record levels. In truth, Japan\u2019s failure to relaunch inflation reveals the mentality of companies to be a deflationary one, in Japan like in many other countries. These companies do not seem to want to take over the reins from the public sector, having turned out to be entirely focused on their own savings and profits. Until the opposite happens, the multiple crises that have shaken our world over the last 20 years will formally attest to it, that we can only count on governments to save the economy.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00a0 Japan is the world\u2019s laboratory. It\u2019s in this country that in 2001, for the very first time, the famous quantitative easing measures were put in place that tried to break the believed-to-be impenetrable barrier of zero interest rates that had been set in 1999. It was a revolutionary endeavour for the time, led by&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":21443,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"give_campaign_id":0,"_crdt_document":"","_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"mc4wp_mailchimp_campaign":[],"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"_wpas_customize_per_network":false},"categories":[648941263,648941294,648941785],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-21448","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-japan","category-neoliberalism","category-public-spending"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Japan, mirror of the world - Michel Santi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/japan\/japan-mirror-of-the-world\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Japan, mirror of the world - Michel Santi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u00a0 Japan is the world\u2019s laboratory. 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I\u2019ve released several books and hundreds of articles meticulously defending the position. Sovereign States \u2013 that being those who issue their own currency independently of any indexation \u2013 should learn to love, or at the very least live with, their public deficits. Because\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;deficits&quot;","block_context":{"text":"deficits","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/category\/deficits-2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/keynes.jpg?fit=395%2C220&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":22615,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/japan\/shinzo-abe-killed-for-being-a-keynesian","url_meta":{"origin":21448,"position":1},"title":"Shinzo Abe: killed for being a Keynesian","author":"Michel Santi","date":"July 10, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"\u00a0 He lifted his country out of the pacifist dogma adopted following World War Two. He contributed massively to Japan\u2019s transformation into a country careful with its geopolitical and strategic interests so it could it take up the seat it deserved at the table of global security operations. He was\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Japan&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Japan","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/japan"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/Shinzo-Abe.webp?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/Shinzo-Abe.webp?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/Shinzo-Abe.webp?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/Shinzo-Abe.webp?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/Shinzo-Abe.webp?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":19880,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/demography\/this-japan-that-wont-stop-surprising-us","url_meta":{"origin":21448,"position":2},"title":"This Japan that won\u2019t stop surprising us","author":"Michel Santi","date":"January 24, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"\u00a0 Japan has been able to face up to its destiny, and even to force it. It has handled perfectly one of the essential components of economic growth, that being demographics. In fact, the number of people on the payroll has increased there these last ten years, much more than\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;demography&quot;","block_context":{"text":"demography","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/demography"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/Japon.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/Japon.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/Japon.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/Japon.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/Japon.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":20574,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/deflation-en\/japan-a-sleeping-beauty","url_meta":{"origin":21448,"position":3},"title":"Japan: a sleeping beauty","author":"Michel Santi","date":"September 1, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"\u00a0 On the macroeconomic scale, Japan is a laboratory, but it\u2019s also a cemetery where economists and theorists have had to bury their certainties. I salute the determination of Prime Minister Abe on his departure, having not shied away from any decision or measure in pulling his country out of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Deflation&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Deflation","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/deflation-en"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/la_belle_au_bois.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/la_belle_au_bois.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/la_belle_au_bois.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/la_belle_au_bois.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/la_belle_au_bois.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13687,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/negative-rate\/economic-hibernation","url_meta":{"origin":21448,"position":4},"title":"Economic Hibernation","author":"Michel Santi","date":"February 25, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"How have we lost our bearings? And why do the right and left \u2013 in all Western countries \u2013 appear to be applying the same economic policy, with only a few cosmetic nuances in difference? Where are the contentions of old that we used to have and which would pit\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Central Banks&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Central Banks","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/central-banks"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":19796,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/japan\/if-only-we-were-all-japanese-2","url_meta":{"origin":21448,"position":5},"title":"If only we were all Japanese!","author":"Michel Santi","date":"December 12, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"\u00a0 The economists and bankers of my generation have had the habit of entertaining themselves by dividing the world into four types of economies: developed, emerging, Argentina and Japan. It is worth, however, updating this somewhat simplistic and caricatural joke by removing Japan from the list of economic aberrations. Albeit\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Japan&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Japan","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/japan"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/Shinzo-Abe.jpg?fit=729%2C510&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/Shinzo-Abe.jpg?fit=729%2C510&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/Shinzo-Abe.jpg?fit=729%2C510&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/Shinzo-Abe.jpg?fit=729%2C510&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]}],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21448","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=21448"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21448\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":21449,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21448\/revisions\/21449"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/21443"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21448"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=21448"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21448"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}