{"id":19732,"date":"2019-11-06T08:45:11","date_gmt":"2019-11-06T07:45:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/?p=19732"},"modified":"2019-11-06T08:45:11","modified_gmt":"2019-11-06T07:45:11","slug":"negative-rates-an-economic-curse","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/bubble\/negative-rates-an-economic-curse","title":{"rendered":"Negative rates: an economic curse?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"19724\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/bubble\/negative-rates-an-economic-curse\/attachment\/merlin-2\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/merlin.jpg?fit=442%2C343&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"442,343\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"merlin\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/merlin.jpg?fit=442%2C343&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-19724\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/merlin.jpg?resize=300%2C233&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"233\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/merlin.jpg?resize=300%2C233&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/merlin.jpg?w=442&amp;ssl=1 442w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Companies that don\u2019t pay interests on their debt are a like these students who never sit an exam: they somehow scrape by without any notable successes or accomplishments. The current level of rates should be encouraging investment because companies\u2019 margins are much higher than the cost of capital, that is itself negligible. Even the least profitable projects should in fact get explored in such an economic climate because tiny debt costs are meant to encourage risk-taking and entrepreneurship. However, this era of excessively low interest rates that has been going on for many years seems to be negatively affecting the world of business and consumption, that is reacting contrarily to economic theory \u2013 and common sense.<\/p>\n<p>In such an era, behavioural economic theory is precious to study attitudes throughout the chain of actors, with business leaders resting on their laurels, perhaps even going nuts, whereas an environment of higher interest rates would have forced them to restructure and streamline. Investors, for their part, tend not to be selective when the cost of money is modest and therefore have an increased tendency to put their capital into certain not-so-viable companies, thus monopolising precious resources that would have been much more wisely allocated to others. Financial institutions \u2013 whose margins find themselves extraordinarily compressed due to zero rates exacerbating their intrinsic fragility \u2013 are also falling into the trap by veering to the side of granting loans, even inundating debitors with credit, to those who are the least solvent. It is indeed a sort of \u201czombification\u201d of economic actors who find themselves being favoured, even ardently promoted, before and above everyone else by the banking system that is keeping many unproductive companies on life support, and these companies in turn tend to sustain other weak links in the chain.<\/p>\n<p>This is why many economists \u2013 and lots of bankers \u2013 are staunchly against negative rates: because, by making dangerous reductions to banks\u2019 margins, they are literally being pushed into risky behaviour that weakens them, all the while taking precious resources away from the most efficient companies. In a certain way, negative rates tend to favour monopolies and unfair competition that are, as we well know, harmful to growth and to confidence. Myself an ardent defender of negative rates and of our central banks\u2019 current monetary policy, I can however no longer ignore this phenomenon of zombie companies now deeply infecting our system, and seriously threatening our economy with spontaneous combustion as so many of these living-dead companies are proving difficult to detect.<\/p>\n<p>It also brings with it a snowball effect of liquidation for these zombie companies that we could potentially be confronted with, likely brought on by a relatively anodyne event. Let us not forget the subprime crisis that, in the summer of 2007, exploded after a small rise in US interest rates. Our system has turned out to be weakened by these zombies \u2013 themselves the collateral effect of negative rates \u2013 so much so that the slightest of sparks will set it ablaze. In summary, our central banks \u2013 and us along with them \u2013 are facing a Cornelian dilemma: keep interest rates at their current levels and cause the system to rot, or raise them and paralyse our economies that are extremely vulnerable to a financial crisis like the one we still haven\u2019t gotten over ten years on.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; Companies that don\u2019t pay interests on their debt are a like these students who never sit an exam: they somehow scrape by without any notable successes or accomplishments. The current level of rates should be encouraging investment because companies\u2019 margins are much higher than the cost of capital, that is itself negligible. Even the&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":19724,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"give_campaign_id":0,"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"mc4wp_mailchimp_campaign":[],"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"{title}\n\n{excerpt}\n\n{url}","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"_wpas_customize_per_network":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[648941299,648941258],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-19732","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bubble","category-negative-rate"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Negative rates: an economic curse? - Michel Santi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/bubble\/negative-rates-an-economic-curse\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Negative rates: an economic curse? - Michel Santi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"&nbsp; Companies that don\u2019t pay interests on their debt are a like these students who never sit an exam: they somehow scrape by without any notable successes or accomplishments. 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It is the very fabric of our economy that has again been shaken as our world sinks further and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Central Banks&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Central Banks","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/central-banks"},"img":{"alt_text":"fork-in-the-road","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/fork-in-the-road-225x300.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":20252,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/debt\/the-monetary-theory-of-happiness","url_meta":{"origin":19732,"position":2},"title":"The Monetary Theory of Happiness","author":"Michel Santi","date":"April 29, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"\u00a0 A government that puts its monetary system to the service of its citizens and businesses views money as an instrument to improve their prosperity. In the absence of this belief, government action is ineffective or effective for just a minority. This degenerates into \u201cpoverty in the midst of plenty\u201d\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;debt&quot;","block_context":{"text":"debt","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/debt"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/debt.png?fit=800%2C639&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/debt.png?fit=800%2C639&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/debt.png?fit=800%2C639&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/debt.png?fit=800%2C639&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":24466,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/financial-crisis\/is-there-a-way-towards-economic-serenity","url_meta":{"origin":19732,"position":3},"title":"Is there a way towards economic serenity?","author":"Michel Santi","date":"March 29, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"All the economic parishes agree on the fact that too high debts are harmful. However, they diverge when the profile of the debtor is considered because, while the Austrian school is primarily concerned with public debts, the neo-Keynesians attach much more importance to private sector debts. The classics are indeed\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;financial crisis&quot;","block_context":{"text":"financial crisis","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/financial-crisis"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/serenite.png?fit=1200%2C801&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/serenite.png?fit=1200%2C801&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/serenite.png?fit=1200%2C801&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/serenite.png?fit=1200%2C801&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/serenite.png?fit=1200%2C801&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13697,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/productivity\/choose-your-poison","url_meta":{"origin":19732,"position":4},"title":"Choose your poison","author":"Michel Santi","date":"April 7, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"\u201cThe essence of secular stagnation: sick recoveries which die in their infancy and depressions which feed on themselves and leave a hard and seemingly immovable core of unemployment.\u201d It is in these terms that the father of secular stagnation, Alvin Hansen, described to the American Economic Association the economic climate\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economic growth&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economic growth","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/economic-growth"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/poison.jpg?fit=1200%2C1010&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/poison.jpg?fit=1200%2C1010&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/poison.jpg?fit=1200%2C1010&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/poison.jpg?fit=1200%2C1010&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/poison.jpg?fit=1200%2C1010&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":29634,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/balance-sheet-reduction\/fed-qt","url_meta":{"origin":19732,"position":5},"title":"The Fed\u2019s Blueprint for Economic Self-Destruction","author":"Michel Santi","date":"June 16, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The Federal Reserve (Fed) has launched its quantitative tightening (QT) this June, aiming to reduce its $9 trillion balance sheet at an unprecedented pace of $95 billion per month. Amid the ongoing tariff wars and geopolitical dramas, few are paying attention to the actions of the U.S. central bank \u2013\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;balance sheet reduction&quot;","block_context":{"text":"balance sheet reduction","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/balance-sheet-reduction"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/liquidites-robinet.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/liquidites-robinet.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/liquidites-robinet.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/liquidites-robinet.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/liquidites-robinet.jpg?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/liquidites-robinet.jpg?resize=1400%2C800&ssl=1 4x"},"classes":[]}],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19732","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19732"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19732\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/19724"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19732"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19732"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19732"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}