{"id":19019,"date":"2018-10-27T09:16:42","date_gmt":"2018-10-27T07:16:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/?p=19019"},"modified":"2018-10-27T09:16:42","modified_gmt":"2018-10-27T07:16:42","slug":"keyness-shadow-is-looming-over-brexit","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/keynes-en\/keyness-shadow-is-looming-over-brexit","title":{"rendered":"Keynes\u2019s shadow is looming over Brexit"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"16049\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/keynes-en\/keyness-shadow-is-looming-over-brexit\/attachment\/keynes_3951-2\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/keynes_3951.jpg?fit=395%2C220&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"395,220\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"keynes_3951\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/keynes_3951.jpg?fit=395%2C220&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-16049\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/keynes_3951.jpg?resize=300%2C167&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"167\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/keynes_3951.jpg?resize=300%2C167&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/keynes_3951.jpg?w=395&amp;ssl=1 395w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u201cWhen the facts change, I change my mind\u201d: this was one of Keynes\u2019s maxims that became an established way of thinking. What would his attitude to Brexit have been? For or against it, he would nonetheless have been part of the negotiations to try and extract the best agreement possible, despite the strongly unfavourable conditions that his country is faced with. In fact, having represented the UK during the Versailles Peace Conference in 1919, then leading the country\u2019s delegation at Bretton Woods in the mid-1940s, which saw the reformulation of our monetary system, John Maynard Keynes was an unrivalled negotiator. He was indeed one of the only people on the winning side in 1918 to criticise the unrealistic reparations imposed on defeated Germany. Likewise, he urged Britain to show flexibility and understanding regarding America&#8217;s isolationist temptations, by encouraging his colleagues to be empathetic with their American counterparts.<\/strong><!--more--><\/p>\n<p><strong>The current British negotiators should take inspiration from this and understand that the European leaders\u2019 main and final objective is to preserve the Union, and to discourage &#8211; by making an example of the UK &#8211; any other attempts of a country wishing to leave it. In looking beyond their simplistic messaging on Brexit, the British might understand that the symbolism of the deal is just as crucial as the deal itself! They might realise that, in reality, the two parties involved (the EU and the UK) must make an effort to understand each other\u2019s position in order to come to a balanced agreement, which unfortunately seems to be getting further and further out of sight as each day passes. To do this, the UK must convince Brussels that it will remain a high-quality trading partner and an indispensable political ally. Here too, Keynes can teach us some valuable lessons.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Keynes who, in 1945, thought that the best strategy for his country was not to constantly highlight its contribution to the war effort, but rather to embrace and steadfastly face up to the new world that began after the Second World War. A figurehead of Keynes\u2019s moral fibre is sorely lacking from the complex and pain-staking conditions of the Brexit negotiations, and it is now vital that all those involved in the negotiations take note of the importance of the relationship between Europe and their British neighbours, on so many levels. And also of the major issues of Brexit since &#8211; in fact &#8211; no nation has ever before left a free trade zone, and this is counting since Bretton Woods! Brexit therefore represents the very first test for de-globalisation that humanity has to confront in this world of hypercomplexity. This is because no other free trade zone is as integrated (with regards to trade, services, capital flows and free movement) as the European Union.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Keynes and his mental agility might have been able to carefully navigate through the minefield that is Brexit, even if you&#8217;d bet money on him being staunchly against it. He often warned against the temptation of sacrificing today&#8217;s wealth for better, but very uncertain, future prospects. From the age of 21, he had in fact highlighted our deficient skills of prediction.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201cWhen the facts change, I change my mind\u201d: this was one of Keynes\u2019s maxims that became an established way of thinking. What would his attitude to Brexit have been? For or against it, he would nonetheless have been part of the negotiations to try and extract the best agreement possible, despite the strongly unfavourable conditions&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":16049,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"give_campaign_id":0,"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"mc4wp_mailchimp_campaign":[],"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"{title}\n\n{excerpt}\n\n{url}","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"_wpas_customize_per_network":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[648941627,648941275],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-19019","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-brexit-2","category-keynes-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Keynes\u2019s shadow is looming over Brexit - Michel Santi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/keynes-en\/keyness-shadow-is-looming-over-brexit\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Keynes\u2019s shadow is looming over Brexit - Michel Santi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u201cWhen the facts change, I change my mind\u201d: this was one of Keynes\u2019s maxims that became an established way of thinking. 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During Europe\u2019s great\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;austerity&quot;","block_context":{"text":"austerity","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/austerity-2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/WS.png?fit=1188%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/WS.png?fit=1188%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/WS.png?fit=1188%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/WS.png?fit=1188%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/WS.png?fit=1188%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":19248,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/brexit-2\/bob-bored-of-brexit","url_meta":{"origin":19019,"position":1},"title":"BOB = Bored of Brexit","author":"Michel Santi","date":"January 22, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"As\u201cBrexit fatigue\u201dtakes hold of us, let\u2019s look back over the terminology relating to it. While \u201csoft Brexit\u201d means the UK staying in the single market according to the \u201cNorway model\u201d, \u201chard Brexit\u201d means exiting the EU with no agreement in place but then signing a trade deal, known as the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Brexit&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Brexit","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/brexit-2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/2730479_0.jpg?fit=630%2C630&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/2730479_0.jpg?fit=630%2C630&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/2730479_0.jpg?fit=630%2C630&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":19348,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/brexit-2\/brexit-is-a-chance-for-europe","url_meta":{"origin":19019,"position":2},"title":"Brexit is a chance for Europe","author":"Michel Santi","date":"March 26, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"The chaos that\u2019s shaking Britain to its core has come a long distance. The constitutional crisis, the 2 million protesters in the streets of London on Saturday 23rd March, the likely fall of Theresa May this week, and even the 2016 referendum itself are merely the culmination of more than\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Brexit&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Brexit","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/brexit-2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/Brexit.jpg?fit=750%2C413&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/Brexit.jpg?fit=750%2C413&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/Brexit.jpg?fit=750%2C413&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/Brexit.jpg?fit=750%2C413&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":21253,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/oil\/tribute-to-a-moderate-saudi","url_meta":{"origin":19019,"position":3},"title":"Tribute to a moderate Saudi","author":"Michel Santi","date":"February 28, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"\u00a0 \u201cThe Stone Age did not end because the world ran out of stones, and the oil age will not end because we run out of oil\u201d. This is an example of Sheikh Yamani\u2019s clairvoyancy, who died a few days ago and who was the oil minister of Saudi Arabia\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Oil&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Oil","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/oil"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/Yamani.jpg?fit=1000%2C774&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/Yamani.jpg?fit=1000%2C774&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/Yamani.jpg?fit=1000%2C774&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/Yamani.jpg?fit=1000%2C774&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":21302,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/keynes-en\/should-we-be-scared-of-the-government","url_meta":{"origin":19019,"position":4},"title":"Should we be scared of the government?","author":"Michel Santi","date":"March 29, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Government always caused fear and those who we now call \u201clibertarians\u201d always viewed public powers gaining momentum with unease since the expansion of a government\u2019s remit has been interpreted by many citizens across the Western world as a rolling back of their own freedoms. For those who subscribe to this\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;big government&quot;","block_context":{"text":"big government","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/big-government"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":19642,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/neoliberalism\/the-people-against-the-economists","url_meta":{"origin":19019,"position":5},"title":"The People against the Economists","author":"Michel Santi","date":"September 9, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"\u00a0 In his time, Franklin Delano Roosevelt dismissed John Maynard Keynes, one of the most influential and brilliant economists of the 20th century, who was labelled an \u201cunorthodox mathematician\u201d by this president. In his farewell address, Eisenhower had warned his citizens against the technocrats in power, the same who were\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;neoliberalism&quot;","block_context":{"text":"neoliberalism","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/neoliberalism"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/%C3%A9conomie-divile.jpg?fit=660%2C281&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/%C3%A9conomie-divile.jpg?fit=660%2C281&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/%C3%A9conomie-divile.jpg?fit=660%2C281&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19019","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19019"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19019\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/16049"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19019"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19019"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19019"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}