{"id":13799,"date":"2018-04-22T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2018-04-21T22:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/michelsanti.blog\/2018\/04\/22\/qatar-saudi-arabia-a-cold-peace\/"},"modified":"2018-10-17T17:43:09","modified_gmt":"2018-10-17T15:43:09","slug":"qatar-saudi-arabia-a-cold-peace","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/saudi-arabia\/qatar-saudi-arabia-a-cold-peace","title":{"rendered":"Qatar &#038; Saudi Arabia: a cold peace"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-7519\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/golfe-carte.jpg?resize=600%2C460&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"460\" \/><\/p>\n<p>According to statements made by the then President of Yemen, Ali Abdullah Saleh, \u201cQatar has too much money\u201d. In fact, only the insiders were familiar with this Emirate prior to the 1990s, even though the little State has distinguished itself as the richest in the world per capita thanks to the proliferation of its oil and gas reserves. The situation nevertheless rapidly developed over the course of the 1990s since the Gulf monarchies were terrorised by Saddam Hussein\u2019s invasion of Kuwait.\u00a0It\u2019s from this moment that Qatar\u2019s path started to diverge from the other Emirates since the Saudis\u2019 powerlessness in the face of the invasion of Iraq made it realise that its survival would be solely in its own hands.<\/p>\n<p>The Qatari leaders then kicked into gear with gusto in order for their country\u2019s influence and standing to be ensured well beyond the Arabic Peninsula. In this regard, the launch of Al-Jazeera in 1996 was a decisive milestone for establishing Qatar&#8217;s \u201csoft power\u201d, making itself known and granting it status across the world via its satellite news chain. In 2003, the transfer of the US airbase from Saudi Arabia to Al Udeid in Qatar was an extra, crucial step that unequivocally bestowed Qatar with a regional power status. It could then compete with its great Wahhabi neighbour that had kicked out 10,000 American military personnel from its territory to create a new connection point for their planes. Establishing the airbase for the American superpower within its territory henceforth freed Qatar from all dependence on its Emirati and Saudi neighbours for defence and protection.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>It goes without saying that Qatar\u2019s rise in power was proportional to its neighbours\u2019 distrust \u2013 and even jealousy \u2013 who had in the meantime signed Egypt up to their cause. These neighbours were, however, not at the end of their ills, nor their surprise. The final blow to their relationship with the ambitious Qatar was the payment, in April 2017, of a ransom in the order of a billion dollars, paid by this Emirate to groups of jihadists, disguised as a ransom to free certain high-level dignitaries who had been kidnapped during a hunting game in southern Iraq. The Arabs accused Qatar of paying 700 million directly to Iran, their sworn enemy, and the rest to terrorist and Salafist groups located in Iraq and Syria. The ingredients were all there for an explosion that was inconveniently encouraged by Donald Trump who, following his first official trip in May 2017 that interestingly enough took place in Saudi Arabia, tweeted out only a few hours after leaving the country that \u201call the evidence points to Qatar\u201d with regards to the funding of terrorism.<\/p>\n<p>Such lunacy was interpreted as a blank cheque for Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Bahrain, Yemen, Egypt and even the Maldives, who endeavoured to give Qatar a brutal, spectacular hiding. However, now, with the Gulf Cooperation Council tearing their hair out, and the regional monarchies going through their worst crisis, Qatar seems to be soldiering on well, fighting on several fronts as per usual. With a rich reserve of 40 billion dollars in its central bank and 300 billion in its sovereign wealth fund, Qatar has nothing to fear on the financial playing field. It has, moreover, joyously overcome the multiple flight restrictions unilaterally imposed on its airline by its neighbours, quickly concluding a deal with Iran \u2013 so happy to foil the Saudis\u2019 plan \u2013 that generously opened its airspace to Qatar, and made the controllers of its Shiraz base available to it. Qatar Airways then initiated new routes through Iran, Iraq, and Turkey, that are now assets for it. Its neighbourly relationship with Iran is indeed excellent, with Qatar making use of a gas deposit in Iranian territorial waters, the \u201cSouth Pars field\u201d, for itself. As for Turkey, on 5 June 2017 it showed unwavering support for Qatar, with Erdogan stigmatising the \u201cvery grave error committed against Qatar\u201d, and describing its isolation as \u201cinhuman and contrary to Islamic values\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Qatar is therefore in the process of winning this showdown, and on the way there is attracting favours from the \u201cadults\u201d still in place in the Trump administration, even if this severe crisis has a lot to say about the loss of American leadership. The US is now incapable of weighing in on and pacifying the region and the States that have traditionally been an asset, even subjugated, to it. At the same time, Abu Dhabi and Riyadh are well aware of the rut they have entrenched themselves in, and are starting to get shown up by Qatar\u2019s resilience. The United Arab Emirates have even loosened up the embargo a bit by allowing a branch of Al-Jazeera to broadcast the football World Cup over its territory, which will be held in Qatar.\u00a0However, in a climate where the Saudis \u2013 in search of victory \u2013 are sinking their teeth into the punitive mission in Yemen, and while \u2013 contrary to previous episodes \u2013 their personal relationships with the Prince of Qatar are heinous, the heir to the Saudi throne, Bin Salman, seems determined to force Qatar to cave in and has planned for the embargo to drag on and on, going as far as comparing it to the one imposed by the US on Cuba for 60 years.<\/p>\n<p>This extreme behaviour is therefore the order of business, like the canal planned by Saudi Arabia along its borders with Qatar that aims to turn it into an island! Planned to be built by the Egyptians who gained the necessary experience through the enlargement of the Suez Canal, the \u201cSalwa Canal\u201d will add the finishing touches to the bloc that is scheming against Qatar and could even, if you believe the Saudi paper Al-Riyadh, serve as a dumping ground for nuclear waste from future Saudi and Emirati plants. \u201cThere are big States with small minds and narrow horizons\u201d is what the Qatar Minister for Foreign Affairs, Sheikh Mohammad Bin Abdulrahman Al Thani, retorted recently, well aware that a Saudi victory would mean Qatari submission, would turn the country into a vassal state, and would engender a total loss of control over its foreign policy planning, just like Bahrain.<\/p>\n<p>Barack Obama \u2013 who recognised his trouble in the ambiguity of America\u2019s relationships with the Gulf States \u2013 was convinced that Saudi Arabia should learn to share the region with Iran, its secular, age-old enemy. He pleaded for a \u201ccold peace\u201d, for a kind of equilibrium where everyone pulled their weight. Wouldn\u2019t Saudi Arabia have everything to gain from offering a hand to Qatar? It would prove its undeniable leadership and demonstrate its leaders\u2019 maturity who would gain in credibility and prestige. Saudi Arabia \u2013 the guardian of Islam\u2019s holy sites \u2013 would thus reaffirm that middle path and moderation are consubstantial with Islam.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>According to statements made by the then President of Yemen, Ali Abdullah Saleh, \u201cQatar has too much money\u201d. In fact, only the insiders were familiar with this Emirate prior to the 1990s, even though the little State has distinguished itself as the richest in the world per capita thanks to the proliferation of its oil&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":13800,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"give_campaign_id":0,"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_wpcom_ai_launchpad_first_post":false,"mc4wp_mailchimp_campaign":[],"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"{title}\n\n{excerpt}\n\n{url}","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"_wpas_customize_per_network":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[648941288],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13799","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-saudi-arabia"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Qatar &amp; Saudi Arabia: a cold peace - Michel Santi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/saudi-arabia\/qatar-saudi-arabia-a-cold-peace\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Qatar &amp; Saudi Arabia: a cold peace - Michel Santi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"According to statements made by the then President of Yemen, Ali Abdullah Saleh, \u201cQatar has too much money\u201d. In fact, only the insiders were familiar with this Emirate prior to the 1990s, even though the little State has distinguished itself as the richest in the world per capita thanks to the proliferation of its oil&hellip;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/saudi-arabia\/qatar-saudi-arabia-a-cold-peace\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Michel Santi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/michel.santi.economiste\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2018-04-21T22:00:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2018-10-17T15:43:09+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/golfe-carte.jpg?fit=655%2C502&ssl=1\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"655\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"502\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Michel Santi\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@michelsanti1\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@michelsanti1\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Michel Santi\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"6 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/michelsanti.fr\\\/en\\\/saudi-arabia\\\/qatar-saudi-arabia-a-cold-peace#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/michelsanti.fr\\\/en\\\/saudi-arabia\\\/qatar-saudi-arabia-a-cold-peace\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Michel Santi\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/michelsanti.fr\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/ba61ae1376925b43e3d1ddbc1e3eb2a4\"},\"headline\":\"Qatar &#038; 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Having led a foreign policy at complete odds with that of the other Gulf nations. Things had been seriously flaring up between these different emirates (and Saudi Arabia) under the reign of the last Prince Hamad bin Khalifa Al Thani, who came to power in 1995. Then,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Saudi Arabia&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Saudi Arabia","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/saudi-arabia"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/Qatar.jpg?fit=1200%2C473&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/Qatar.jpg?fit=1200%2C473&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/Qatar.jpg?fit=1200%2C473&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/Qatar.jpg?fit=1200%2C473&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/Qatar.jpg?fit=1200%2C473&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13794,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/saudi-arabia\/the-saudi-blockade-a-blessing-for-qatar","url_meta":{"origin":13799,"position":1},"title":"The Saudi blockade: a blessing for Qatar?","author":"Michel Santi","date":"March 26, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"Qatar is an island. At least, it has become one, but not without gradually forging new alliances and trade routes that will influence the balances in the Middle East in the long term. This is how, more than nine months after feeling the wrath of Saudi Arabia, Qatar has now\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Saudi Arabia&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Saudi Arabia","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/saudi-arabia"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/Qatar.jpg?fit=1200%2C473&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/Qatar.jpg?fit=1200%2C473&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/Qatar.jpg?fit=1200%2C473&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/Qatar.jpg?fit=1200%2C473&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/Qatar.jpg?fit=1200%2C473&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13733,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/saudi-arabia\/the-moment-of-truth-for-saudi-arabia-and-petrodollars","url_meta":{"origin":13799,"position":2},"title":"The moment of truth for Saudi Arabia and petrodollars","author":"Michel Santi","date":"March 4, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"At the end of the Second World War, the enormous reserves of American gold - the largest in the world at the time - allowed this metal to construct a new world order centred around the dollar. The Bretton Woods Conference held in 1944 formalised the consecration of the greenback,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Oil&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Oil","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/oil"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/ibn_saoud.jpg?fit=377%2C437&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":13670,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/saudi-arabia\/saudi-arabia-black-swan-of-2016","url_meta":{"origin":13799,"position":3},"title":"Saudi Arabia: black swan of 2016","author":"Michel Santi","date":"January 14, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"The Angolan kwanza collapsed by 15% in a few hours as soon as the country\u2019s authorities effected its devaluation a few days ago. Last month it was Azerbaijan\u2019s currency, the manat, which lost a third of its value in a few hours when its national central bank decided to abandon\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Oil&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Oil","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/oil"},"img":{"alt_text":"P\u00e9trole","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/P%C3%A9trole-1-267x300-267x300.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":13632,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/saudi-arabia\/checkmate-for-saudi-arabia","url_meta":{"origin":13799,"position":4},"title":"Checkmate for Saudi Arabia","author":"Michel Santi","date":"September 12, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"The debacle of oil prices has greatly exceeded that of the global financial crisis of 2008 and the Asian crisis of 1998. And it is much more severe. At the end of this summer of 2015, OPEC is just a shadow of its former self: simply put, it has been\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Oil&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Oil","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/oil"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/AI.jpg?fit=930%2C620&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/AI.jpg?fit=930%2C620&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/AI.jpg?fit=930%2C620&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/AI.jpg?fit=930%2C620&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":19136,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/oil\/saudi-arabia-is-no-longer-too-big-to-fail","url_meta":{"origin":13799,"position":5},"title":"Saudi Arabia is no longer \u2018too big to fail\u2019","author":"Michel Santi","date":"December 5, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"Is Saudi Arabia still an important partner to the US? The question answers itself, at least partially, with the Middle East having drastically changed since the strategic and fundamental alliance made in 1943 by President Franklin Roosevelt and King Abdulaziz Ibn Saud. It\u2019s now a distant time when FDR boldly,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Oil&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Oil","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/oil"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/MBS.jpg?fit=750%2C375&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/MBS.jpg?fit=750%2C375&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/MBS.jpg?fit=750%2C375&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/MBS.jpg?fit=750%2C375&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]}],"amp_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/golfe-carte.jpg?fit=655%2C502&ssl=1","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13799","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13799"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13799\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/13800"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13799"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13799"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13799"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}