{"id":13726,"date":"2017-01-06T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2017-01-05T22:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/michelsanti.blog\/2017\/01\/06\/back-to-the-deutschmark\/"},"modified":"2018-10-17T17:43:17","modified_gmt":"2018-10-17T15:43:17","slug":"back-to-the-deutschmark","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/germany\/back-to-the-deutschmark","title":{"rendered":"Back to the Deutschmark"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The staunchly anti-European Martin Feldstein, a Harvard economist, wrote prophetically in 1997 that the introduction of the euro would exacerbate economic cycles by aggravating unemployment in certain member-states. Whose economic problems would contribute to a crisis in confidence in the Union. In fact, those who were convinced that the Union had been suffering a crisis since 2009, which would not be a one-off or a passer-by, had to go back to the drawing board to realise now that this crisis was written into the very genes of the euro. It was a tardy realisation of a common currency that naturally needed a common monetary policy \u2013 a common interest rate, that is \u2013 for a zone with disparate, even antinomic, cycles of activity. The many structural deficiencies and chronic problems were swept under the rug during the birth of the euro which is now presented \u2013 not without evidence \u2013 as guilty of the major crisis that is spreading throughout our Union. And for good reason because, in its actual form, the common currency has been reduced to a vector for economic delirium and a machine that churns out deflation, unemployment, and, as a consequence, inequalities. This means that the only course that would now authorise the implementation of a policy of active economic stimulation in the countries that have been hit hard by unemployment and recession, without simultaneously harming German interests, would be the reintroduction of the Deutschmark! <\/p>\n<p>It is indeed a matter of waking up to the fact that this squaring the circle which consists of implementing vital structural reforms in peripheral Europe without making its population suffer more at the hands of a counterproductive austerity programme, all the while avoiding an inflationist sweep in Germany, will only be resolved by the return of the Germany currency. Because, contrary to the reintroduction of the Greek drachma (or of the Spanish peseta or the Portuguese escudo, etc.), the return of the Deutschmark wouldn\u2019t provoke any phenomena of financial contamination or systemic crisis. It would, on the contrary, very gently \u2013 stylishly, even \u2013 relieve the burden of debt for the peripheral nations while promoting a euro which would see a significant erosion of its value. They would no longer have to go through the pain and unpredictability of complete or partial bankruptcy of certain nations, or of the seizure of certain assets and other confiscatory taxation. The only pitfall \u2013 and a sizeable one at that! \u2013 to overcome would be the Deutschmark\u2019s inevitable sudden take-off which would damage German exports at their core, and which would favour imports for this country\u2026in short, it would bring about a recession due to a global rush for a German currency which would then serve as a refuge value for the rest of the world. In such a climate, the country\u2019s central bank, the Bundesbank, would be unable to weaken the currency because interest rates would already be at zero \u2013 except if it was reintroduced in very specific conditions, which would allow the Bundesbank to maintain control over its valuation all the while inducing a paradigm shift on the whole global monetary system. <\/p>\n<p>It would, as it happens, involve reintroducing the Deutschmark only in electronic form, all the while conserving the euro but strictly for internal fiduciary transactions, within Germany only. A bracket to allow for fluctuation between the electronic Deutschmark and the paper euro would then be set. After that, a gradual appreciation of the Deutschmark \u2013 without negatively affecting the country\u2019s commercial exchanges \u2013 would be tolerated and even arranged. There would be no rush for Deutschmark banknotes for the simple reason that they wouldn\u2019t exist, knowing that the Bundesbank would from then on be in a position to make unlimited use of its strike force of electronic monetary creation in order to stop in its tracks any attempt to pillage the solely electronic Deutschmark, whose valuation it would have easy control over. The consequence: while interest rates given in euros would stay close to zero, they would be strongly negative in Deutschmarks, with naturally positive repercussions for all activity involving the rekindled Germany currency. At the same time, the sharp fall in the euro would immediately boost the competitiveness of European goods and services. Furthermore, the scheduled increase in value for German goods, due to the implementation of a well-defined calendar for the electronic Deutschmark, would encourage buyers not to go back to importing German goods too much. These foresights would serve as a stimulus package, neutralising the harmful effects of the electronic Deutschmark\u2019s appreciation. <\/p>\n<p>The reintroduction of the Deutschmark \u2013 in electronic form \u2013 would therefore signal the return of this flexibility which the Union now so badly needs, in terms of both monetary policy and the orchestrated weakening of its currency. What then is stopping Europe from outlining a monetary policy that is nuanced and that can adapt to the different economic cycles of its so different nations? In this respect, the electronic currency \u2013 perhaps even the European electronic currencies \u2013 under the guidance of the ECB would without doubt be the ideal instrument to temper the fundamentals for whichever country or whichever group of countries, all the while authorising the central bank to maintain strict control over it. May the euro \u2013 which is now decidedly no longer the symbol of European unity \u2013 be undone! The Founding Fathers undoubtedly committed a very grave mistake by opting for currency \u2013 and therefore money! \u2013 as the symbol of the European Union.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The staunchly anti-European Martin Feldstein, a Harvard economist, wrote prophetically in 1997 that the introduction of the euro would exacerbate economic cycles by aggravating unemployment in certain member-states. Whose economic problems would contribute to a crisis in confidence in the Union. In fact, those who were convinced that the Union had been suffering a crisis&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"give_campaign_id":0,"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"mc4wp_mailchimp_campaign":[],"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[648941301,648941253],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13726","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-deutschmark","category-germany"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Back to the Deutschmark - Michel Santi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/germany\/back-to-the-deutschmark\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Back to the Deutschmark - Michel Santi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The staunchly anti-European Martin Feldstein, a Harvard economist, wrote prophetically in 1997 that the introduction of the euro would exacerbate economic cycles by aggravating unemployment in certain member-states. 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Such economic woes would contribute to a crisis of confidence in the Union\u201d. In fact, those who were convinced that the Union\u2019s crisis since 2009\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;deutschemark&quot;","block_context":{"text":"deutschemark","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/category\/deutschemark"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/DM-278x300.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":21334,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/euro-2\/robert-mundell-father-of-europe","url_meta":{"origin":13726,"position":1},"title":"Robert Mundell, father of Europe?","author":"Michel Santi","date":"April 14, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"\u00a0 Well before the creation of the euro, the Canadian Robert Mundell who died a few days ago, laid out the conditions for success of a monetary union. His works won him the Nobel Prize for economics in 1999, the year that the euro launched. According to Mundell, a currency\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;euro&quot;","block_context":{"text":"euro","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/euro-2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/Professor-Mundell-1932-2021.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/Professor-Mundell-1932-2021.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/Professor-Mundell-1932-2021.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/Professor-Mundell-1932-2021.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/Professor-Mundell-1932-2021.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13719,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/european-union\/the-euro-and-the-gold-standard","url_meta":{"origin":13726,"position":2},"title":"The euro and the gold standard","author":"Michel Santi","date":"October 23, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Well before the creation of the euro, the Canadian, Robert Mundell, was to enumerate the conditions of success for a monetary union. His works won him the Nobel Prize in 1999, precisely the year that the euro was launched. According to Mundell, a currency shared by a large geographic area\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;bubble&quot;","block_context":{"text":"bubble","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/bubble"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":13742,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/european-union\/the-soviet-and-european-unions-same-lies-same-destiny","url_meta":{"origin":13726,"position":3},"title":"The Soviet and European Unions: same lies, same destiny","author":"Michel Santi","date":"April 4, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"The parallels between the European Union of 2017 and the Soviet Union of 1989 are troubling. Didn\u2019t these two systems pride themselves on being \u201capolitical\u201d, meaning that they were led by a technocratic elite that was detached from real life and \u201creal people\u201d? 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And what would be the instrument that\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;European Union&quot;","block_context":{"text":"European Union","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/european-union"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/Europe-fragile.jpg?fit=960%2C533&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/Europe-fragile.jpg?fit=960%2C533&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/Europe-fragile.jpg?fit=960%2C533&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/Europe-fragile.jpg?fit=960%2C533&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13736,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/germany\/the-european-illusion","url_meta":{"origin":13726,"position":5},"title":"The European illusion","author":"Michel Santi","date":"March 15, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"The infamous Treaty of Versailles which was imposed on Germany following the First World War forced the nation to pay the astronomical sum of 132 billion Marks. This iniquitous treaty was to provoke the Occupation of the Ruhr in 1923 by France, displeased at the delays in German payments. In\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;debt&quot;","block_context":{"text":"debt","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/debt"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/versailles_traite.jpg?fit=848%2C730&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/versailles_traite.jpg?fit=848%2C730&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/versailles_traite.jpg?fit=848%2C730&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/versailles_traite.jpg?fit=848%2C730&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]}],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13726","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13726"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13726\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13726"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13726"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13726"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}