{"id":13703,"date":"2016-04-21T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2016-04-20T22:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/michelsanti.blog\/2016\/04\/21\/somethings-got-to-give\/"},"modified":"2018-10-17T17:43:21","modified_gmt":"2018-10-17T15:43:21","slug":"somethings-got-to-give","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/capitalism\/somethings-got-to-give","title":{"rendered":"Something\u2019s got to give"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/Ce93s9lVAAAb6FR.jpg?resize=600%2C337&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Ce93s9lVAAAb6FR\" width=\"600\" height=\"337\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-6674\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The secular stagnation that is infecting our economies brings with it the germs of instability and financial torment. Since interest rates and monetary creation are the only weapons still at the disposal of the only public institutions that still wield some sort of power in our modern world, their initiation with a view to relaunching our economies is in reality only exacerbating the problems. It is a whole Ponzi scheme which is establishing itself in a situation of zero and negative rates, which is literally pushing investors and speculators to take more risks with the sole aim of generating a more favourable differential in terms of profitability.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>We therefore find ourselves in a paradoxical situation where \u2013 although motivated by the commendable objective of recovering growth \u2013, central banks are creating a speculative bubble- and financial crisis-spitting hydra. In other words, \u2013 now at the current stage of negative rates and cuts to quantitative rates \u2013 central banks\u2019 monetary policy might ultimately be harmful for growth, for employment and for production. So here we are in an environment where the process of forming\/imploding bubbles has been multiplying at a frenzied rate since the mid-1980s. This is since interest rates began their tumble from a historic peak higher than 21% in 1981 to sinking under the zero level that it\u2019s at today. From the crash of 1987 to the subprimes of 2007, and passing by the 2008\/2009 implosion of Spanish and Irish real estate mega bubbles, the conclusion seems obvious (and disheartening for central banks), being that very low interest rates promote a whole range of risky business. <\/p>\n<p>However, these same establishments do not wield the power that is ascribed to them. In other terms, the current level of the miniscule (negative, even) real rates is imposed upon them by a combination of factors that escapes their control and that these establishments must at present submit to. It is on the one hand the demography which pulls interest rates downwards, as is the case in Japan and Germany. On the other hand it is high-tech business\u2019 declining need for capital which is putting intense downward pressure on the price of money.   <\/p>\n<p>It is the escalation of inequalities which is concentrating the mass of wealth in a few privileged hands who save a lot more than they spend, which ends up working to constrict interest rates. The rich getting even richer also brings about an unhealthy spiral since the collapse in rates swells and bloats stock market valuations even more which, in turn, only benefit a few privileged folk. This is a phenomenon which acts to further reduce the real interest rate because of the increase in savings being made. The only ones who were still able to make use of a certain driver in order to lessen the shocks \u2013 central banks \u2013, now find themselves almost powerless.<\/p>\n<p>The system is thus rotting from the inside.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The secular stagnation that is infecting our economies brings with it the germs of instability and financial torment. Since interest rates and monetary creation are the only weapons still at the disposal of the only public institutions that still wield some sort of power in our modern world, their initiation with a view to relaunching&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":13704,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"give_campaign_id":0,"_crdt_document":"","_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"mc4wp_mailchimp_campaign":[],"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"_wpas_customize_per_network":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[648941299,648941282,648941284],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13703","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bubble","category-capitalism","category-inequality"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Something\u2019s got to give - Michel Santi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/capitalism\/somethings-got-to-give\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Something\u2019s got to give - Michel Santi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The secular stagnation that is infecting our economies brings with it the germs of instability and financial torment. Since interest rates and monetary creation are the only weapons still at the disposal of the only public institutions that still wield some sort of power in our modern world, their initiation with a view to relaunching&hellip;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/capitalism\/somethings-got-to-give\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Michel Santi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/michel.santi.economiste\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2016-04-20T22:00:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2018-10-17T15:43:21+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/Ce93s9lVAAAb6FR.jpg?fit=600%2C337&ssl=1\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"600\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"337\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Michel Santi\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@michelsanti1\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@michelsanti1\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Michel Santi\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/michelsanti.fr\\\/en\\\/capitalism\\\/somethings-got-to-give#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/michelsanti.fr\\\/en\\\/capitalism\\\/somethings-got-to-give\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Michel Santi\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/michelsanti.fr\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/ba61ae1376925b43e3d1ddbc1e3eb2a4\"},\"headline\":\"Something\u2019s got to give\",\"datePublished\":\"2016-04-20T22:00:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2018-10-17T15:43:21+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/michelsanti.fr\\\/en\\\/capitalism\\\/somethings-got-to-give\"},\"wordCount\":482,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/michelsanti.fr\\\/en\\\/capitalism\\\/somethings-got-to-give#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/i0.wp.com\\\/michelsanti.fr\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2018\\\/10\\\/Ce93s9lVAAAb6FR.jpg?fit=600%2C337&ssl=1\",\"articleSection\":[\"bubble\",\"capitalism\",\"inequality\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/michelsanti.fr\\\/en\\\/capitalism\\\/somethings-got-to-give#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/michelsanti.fr\\\/en\\\/capitalism\\\/somethings-got-to-give\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/michelsanti.fr\\\/en\\\/capitalism\\\/somethings-got-to-give\",\"name\":\"Something\u2019s got to give - 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In the absence of public policies dedicated to openly relaunching growth and battling unemployment, and in the presence of indecisive politicians who are not versed in economics, only central banks have had\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Central Banks&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Central Banks","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/central-banks"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":26006,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/inequality\/the-ravages-of-economic-dogmatism","url_meta":{"origin":13703,"position":1},"title":"The Ravages of Economic Dogmatism","author":"Michel Santi","date":"April 20, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"\u00a0 \u00a0 They have brought Europe to a standstill. The productivity differential is widening further every quarter between us and the United States, who are racing ahead, far ahead of the European Union with their 2.6% growth compared to the pitiful European regression of 1.2%. 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It is always for a simple and unique reason, which is that irrational and outlandish bets undertaken by the world of finance are done so with borrowed money! In this regard, the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;capitalism&quot;","block_context":{"text":"capitalism","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/capitalism"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/ss-subprime.jpg?fit=792%2C612&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/ss-subprime.jpg?fit=792%2C612&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/ss-subprime.jpg?fit=792%2C612&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/ss-subprime.jpg?fit=792%2C612&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":19732,"url":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/bubble\/negative-rates-an-economic-curse","url_meta":{"origin":13703,"position":5},"title":"Negative rates: an economic curse?","author":"Michel Santi","date":"November 6, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"\u00a0 Companies that don\u2019t pay interests on their debt are a like these students who never sit an exam: they somehow scrape by without any notable successes or accomplishments. The current level of rates should be encouraging investment because companies\u2019 margins are much higher than the cost of capital, that\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;bubble&quot;","block_context":{"text":"bubble","link":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/category\/bubble"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/michelsanti.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/merlin.jpg?fit=442%2C343&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13703","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13703"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13703\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/13704"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13703"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13703"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michelsanti.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13703"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}